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AUTHOR:
TerrorismCentral Editorial Staff

TITLE:
TerrorismCentral Newsletter - February 18, 2007

SOURCE:
TerrorismCentral, February 18, 2007

TEXT:

This week's Recommended Reading covers the ups and downs of North Korea's nuclear program, from Clinton and back again, including the full text of this week's agreement. Other news includes the first week of the security crackdown in Baghdad, which began and ended with massive bombings. Other security incidents around the globe are also covered in these news highlights, as well as information about deterrence and prevention.

CONTENTS:

NEWS HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK:

1. Global Terrorism Monitor
2. Political Risk Monitor
3. AML/CFT Monitor
4. Emerging Threat Monitor
5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor
6. Disaster Reduction Monitor
7. Recommended Reading
8. Asset Management Network News


1. Global Terrorism Monitor

Terrorism is a global phenomenon, and The Global Terrorism Monitor, is the only publication that directly addresses the key transnational issues this represents. Published monthly, it includes expert analysis, statistical trends, and the policies, practices, and technologies that help to mitigate this persistent threat.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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GTM Africa
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Al Qaeda in the Maghreb has claimed responsibility for a series of seven bombings that targeted police stations in the northeastern Kabylia region. Six people died, including two policemen, and 30 people were injured. This may presage a new period of terrorist activity.

In Chad, the tactics employed in the Darfur region of Sudan have arrived in full, presenting the danger that violence in Chad could turn into genocide. The number of displaced Chadians has risen from 30,000 in May 2006 to more than 120,000, mostly the result of intensified attacks on civilians.
http://www.oxfam.org/en/news/2007/pr070216_chad
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/africa/article2278034.ece
http://www.news24.com/News24/Africa/News/0,9294,2-11-1447_2069898,00.html
http://www.unhcr.org/chad.html

Mohamed Abderraman hijacked an Air Mauritania passenger plane. When the pilot found that the hijacker spoke no French, he notified the passengers and made a rough landing so the passengers and crew could overpower the gunmen. Several passengers were injured during the landing. Canary Islands police arrested Abderraman on landing. Mauritanian police are investigating how the hijacker was able to board the flight with two loaded handguns.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6420496,00.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6368927.stm

Nigerian kidnappers have released all 24 Filipino seamen, taken hostage on 20 January. They were freed following intervention of local elders, without a ransom being paid.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/cover/february07/14022007/f414022007.html

In the Nigerian state of Bayelsa, the militant Iduwini Volunteer Force (IVF) says it will blow up the Bonga oil field if Shell does not implement the Memorandum of Understanding it had agreed with local communities, within two weeks.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/niger_delta/nd213022007.html

Similar demands led to a demonstration last weekend against Chevron in the Gbaramatu kingdom of Delta state.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/niger_delta/nd313022007.html

Somalia's week began as it ended, with heavy shelling. Last Sunday night there was heavy shelling near President Abdullahi Yusuf's residence. Monday morning there were six explosions that killed a 6-year old child, his father, and a third adult, and injured several others. Overnight to Tuesday there were attacks against the port, presidential villa, and a minister's home. Two civilians were injured, and people have been fleeing the areas under attack, fearing more violence. There were other incidents during the week, culminating in a car explosion that killed four people on Sunday, and three others in armed assaults. Surging violent crime is adding to the tragedy, which has in effect returned to the chaos of 1992.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57634
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=299241
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=79639

Uganda's Karamojong warriors ambushed an army convoy on Monday to recover more than 2,000 head of cattle the army had recovered. Four soldiers and seven Karamojong died between Monday and Tuesday, but as the fighting escalated, the army brought in helicopter gunships, killing 45 in just one battle.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57640

Sudan continued bombardment of North Darfur near the border with Chad, in gross violation of the ceasefire. The African Union, the UN, aid groups, and the Darfur rebels have condemned the attacks by the government and their Janjaweed militias. The attendant death and destruction primarily harm civilians. Such incidents have led to massive increases in displaced populations and are now contributing to a situation in Chad very similar to the disaster of Darfur. The Darfur rebels have said that they will return to negotiations and observe the ceasefire.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=299124
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GTM Americas
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Brazil's efforts to control militias and gangs that have taken over the favelas (shantytowns) of Rio de Janeiro are leading to vigilante justice and more combat. Last Sunday there was a 3-way battle between militiamen, a drug gang, and official police. Nine people, including an off-duty policeman, died.
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=36536
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/world/story/0,,2010459,00.html
http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0208/p04s01-woam.html

Canadian federal judge Justice Richard Mosley ordered terrorism suspect Mohamed Mahjoub released under strict conditions in a form of house arrest with his wife and two sons, while courts address the issue of indefinite detention without charge. Mahjoub was held without charge for nearly seven years. Meanwhile, two antiterrorism laws introduced after 9/11 will expire next week.
http://www.thestar.com/article/182489
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/15/world/americas/15canada.html

Colombian Senator Alvaro Araujo, brother of the foreign minister, has been arrested on suspicion of connections with the United Self Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC) paramilitaries. Five other legislators associated with President Uribe were issued arrest warrants.

Cuban terrorist Luis Posada Carriles is set for trial in May, after the US charged him with lying to immigration officials. Although wanted in both Cuba and Venezuela for a plane bombing and other attacks, mostly directed against Castro, a US judge has refused Posada's deportation to either country.
http://www.theledger.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070215/APN/702152700
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB153/

Mexico's federal crackdown against powerful drug gangs has succeeded in regaining control of a few areas, but drug dealers have replaced local governments in many others. The drug wars have now spread to the affluent and peaceful city of Monterrey and its suburbs, once known as the safest in Mexico.
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/16710252.htm
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/world/mexico/stories/021307dnintmonterrey.f933dd.html

US military leaders say that weapons from Iran (and other countries) have been found in Iraq, but they have no evidence of Iranian government complicity, while the White House insists there is a direct link between weapons and the highest levels of the government, although acknowledging uncertainty that Iran's president picked up the phone and gave the orders. Arms from Austria have also turned up with insurgents, but the main ingredient in improvised explosive devices is the high explosive left by the US in nearly 100 unsecured arms dumps. Security analysts, politicians, and administration critics are skeptical of the reports, and the motives behind them. Top Democrats in Congress have warned that President Bush does not have the authority to wage war with Iran.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/02/20070212-3.html
http://www.defenselink.mil/News/NewsArticle.aspx?ID=3062
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/02/20070213-3.html
http://www.defenselink.mil/News/NewsArticle.aspx?id=3052
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,466423,00.html
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/02/20070214-2.html
http://www.defenselink.mil/News/NewsArticle.aspx?ID=3063
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/02/13/wiran13.xml
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/ae2d5d24-badd-11db-bbf3-0000779e2340.html
http://www.boston.com/news/world/articles/2007/02/14/doubts_raised_on_linking_of_iran_to_us_deaths_in_iraq/
http://www.suntimes.com/news/politics/260047,CST-NWS-iran16.article

Newly declassified materials show that the plan for the US invasion of Iraq envisioned that only 5,000 troops would remain in the country by December 2006, at which time the Iraqi would be a stable, pro-US, democratic country.
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB214/index.htm

Former CIA contractor David Passaro has been jailed for more than eight years following his conviction of abusing a prisoner in Afghanistan who later died.
http://www.news14charlotte.com/content/top_stories/default.asp?ArID=134410

The Center for American Progress released its biannual Terrorism Index. It asked more than a hundred top foreign policy experts in the US if the country is winning the war on terror. The answer was a resounding NO. Furthermore, 81 percent warned that the world is more dangerous, that the US national strategy is failing on multiple fronts, and that another attack is imminent but the US may be distracted from the most important threats.
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2007/02/terrorism_index.html

Daniel Joseph Maldonado ("Daniel Aljughaifi") has been charged in Texas court for conspiring to use a destructive device and receiving military training from the Union of Islamic Courts in Somalia. He was captured in Kenya in January, and turned over to US officials this week.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2007/02/17/texas_terror_suspect_grew_up_in_nh_went_to_mass_mosque/

Venezuela's defense minister plans to increase security after a branch of al Qaeda called for attacks on those supplying oil to the US. Canada is also taking precautions.
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/02/15/venezuela.oil.reut/index.html
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=79571
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GTM Asia Pacific
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Australians are increasingly angry at David Hicks' continued detention in the US prison camp at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Prime Minister Howard is working towards repatriation before federal elections towards the end of this year. Hicks has been detained for five years, and will be tried at a time not yet specified, under new military tribunals of dubious legality. Following this process, Hicks would not be freed this year. Earlier, diplomatic pressure from the UK had been successful in repatriating their detainees, and Australians have called on Howard and the Foreign Ministry to offer the same protection for their fellow citizens.
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,,21238969-661,00.html
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/us-releases-new-details-of-hicks-allegations/2007/02/16/1171405403256.html
http://www.greenleft.org.au/2007/699/36324
http://www.defenselink.mil/news/d2007Hicks%20-%20Notification%20of%20Sworn%20Charges.pdf

Burma plans to launch operations against Indian separatists based in Burma's western Sagaing Division. Recently, Burma has targeted Naga separatists, but this will expand to Manipuri and Assamese rebels.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/6364735.stm

Philippines New People's Army (NPA) rebels attacked army engineers working on water supplies were attacked on Thursday, leaving one soldier dead. Three suspected rebels were later arrested. On Friday, NPA ambushed police south of Manila, killing two officers and injuring two.

Although low levels of violence have persisted in southern Thailand, a series of attacks today has dramatically escalated the conflict. At least 28 bombs exploded, killing at least four people and injuring more than 50. Two schools were burned down. The coordinated attacks targeted both commercial and government sites, including hotels, karaoke bars, the electrical grid, and other sites.
http://www.zeenews.com/znnew/articles.asp?aid=355076&sid=WOR
http://www.bangkokpost.com/News/19Feb2007_news01.php
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GTM Europe
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The European Parliament has adopted the final report on US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) activities in Europe. It finds that over 1,000 CIA-operated flights used European airspace from 2001 to 2005 and temporary secret detention facilities "may have been located at US military bases" in Europe. It deplores passivity of some member states and lack of cooperation, with many countries turning a blind eye to the illegal activities, and calls for independent investigation into all stopovers by civilian aircraft hired by the CIA. Inspections or a ban should be operated for such CIA-operated aircraft. In addition, the report calls for the closure of the US detention center in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, and for the return of all EU residents being held illegally by US authorities.
http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/expert/infopress_page/019-3030-043-02-07-902-20070209IPR02947-12-02-2007-2007-true/default_en.htm
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-pilots18feb18,0,7138034.story
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6363361.stm
http://www.guardian.co.uk/usa/rendition/0,,1662557,00.html

Bosnian Serb paramilitary leader Gojko Jankovic has been sentenced to 34 years in prison after being found guilty on seven counts of crimes against humanity ethnic cleansing in the 1992-95 war to purge eastern Bosnia of Muslims.
http://today.reuters.com/News/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L16876412
http://www.un.org/icty/glance/jankovic.htm

The Czechoslovak state secret police reportedly has a counter-intelligence division that trained secret commando units for kidnapping, killing, and sabotage in West Germany from 1972.
http://www.praguemonitor.com/en/22/czech_national_news/1135/

Danish judges on Thursday overturned their own jury's guilty verdicts against three of four Muslim men charged with involvement in planning terrorist acts in Europe. The judges ruled that three of the four accused were not guilty and released the men. The judges found the fourth man guilty. The majority verdict by the 12-member jury went against the recommendation of the judges, who had called for the acquittal of three of the defendants due to a lack of evidence. The four, of Bosnian, Palestinian, Syrian-Palestinian and Moroccan origin, were arrested in October 2005 and were charged in August 2006 with plotting attacks in Europe.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=79568

The French interior ministry has arrested 11 suspected terrorists, including nine suspects believed members of al Qaeda who recruited fighters for Iraq.

A German court ruled that former Baader-Meinhof gang member Brigitte Mohnhaupt qualifies for early release after serving 24 years of her five life sentences, imposed for her involvement in kidnappings and murders in the 1970s. Germans are divided over this decision.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,465856,00.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6314559.stm

Italy's anti-Mafia police report disrupting a major international arms trafficking ring, in Malta, Russia, Libya and China, exchanging drugs for arms, to supply weapons to insurgents in Iraq.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6355101.stm

Italian police arrested 19 suspected Red Brigades members and associates.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,466841,00.html
http://www.interno.it/news/articolo.php?idarticolo=23655 (in Italian)

An Italian judge has ordered 26 alleged CIA agents and seven Italian associates, including former military intelligence chief Nicolo Pollari, to stand trial on charges of involvement in the 2003 extraordinary rendition of Hassan Mustafa Osama Nasr ("Abu Omar"), Egypt has freed the cleric from detention. Nasr, who was tortured while in detention, plans to sue former Prime Minister Berlusconi for damages for approving the operation.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6368269.stm
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/16/world/europe/16cnd-cia.html http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSL1288283620070212

Russian police have detained two ethnic Chechens suspected of journalist Anna Politkovskaya's murder, apparently identified by satellite photographs.
http://www.sptimes.ru/index.php?action_id=2&story_id=20352

In Chechnya's Ishkoi-Yurt village on Tuesday fighting between police and militants has left four rebels and two policemen dead. Six suspects are charged with

Spain has opened the trial of 29 people accused of involvement in the 2004 Madrid train bombings that killed 191 people. Six have been charged with 191 counts of murder and 1,755 of attempted murder, and one with 192 counts of murder and 1,755 of attempted murder. Each faces up to 40,000 years in jail. The others face lesser terrorism-related charges.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/02/15/news/trial.php http://www.eitb24.com/new/en/B24_35176/politics/MADRID-TRAIN-BOMBING-TRIAL-DAY-2-Key-suspects-claim/ http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/europe/2004/madrid_train_attacks/default.stm

On 12 February, Spain's Supreme Court accepted Inaki De Juana Chaos's appeal and reduced an additional 12-year sentence to three years. As of this date, he has been on hunger strike for 99 days, and is being force-fed intravenously. De Juana Chaos is a member of Basque separatist group ETA and was first arrested in 1987 and sentenced to 3,000 years in prison for 25 murders.
http://www.eitb24.com/new/en/B24_34497/politics/99-DAYS-ON-HUNGER-STRIKE-Supreme-Court-reduces-Juanas/
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article1329302.ece

A Turkish court has sentenced seven men to life in prison for the 2003 Istanbul truck bombings that killed 58 people and injured more than 600. The mastermind, Syrian Louai al Sakka, was a financier, bomb-maker and alleged al Qaeda associate. Harun Ilhan,
http://www.guardian.co.uk/turkey/story/0,,2015330,00.html
http://www.todayszaman.com/tz-web/detaylar.do?load=detay&link=103055&bolum=101
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L16717753.htm

Four Britons were deported from Kenya to the UK. They were detained under the Terrorism Act 2000 on suspicion of supporting Somalia's Union of Islamic Courts (UIC), but after questioning were released.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1378590.ece

The Independent Police Complaints Commission (IPCC) has determined that a June 2006 counterterrorism operation was appropriately conducted. The operation targeted two households, and an innocent man was shot and injured, the result of bad intelligence suggesting a dirty bomb. The families are not satisfied with the results, which contribute to the lack of confidence British Muslims have with their police.
http://www.ipcc.gov.uk/forest_gate_2_3report.pdf
http://www.guardian.co.uk/terrorism/story/0,,2012168,00.html
http://cms.met.police.uk/news/met_comment/the_ipcc_forest_gate_findings
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1378529.ece
http://www.libdems.org.uk/news/authorities-must-regain-communitys-confidence-after-forest-gate-heath.11954.html

Raymond McCartney and Eamonn MacDermott were convicted of murdering Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) officer Patrick McNulty and Jeffrey Agate. A Northern Ireland judge has quashed the convictions because they were based on fabricated confessions while in police custody.
http://www.derryjournal.com/ViewArticle2.aspx?SectionID=3421&ArticleID=2055083
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/local-national/article2272707.ece
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GTM Middle East
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The US Rewards for Justice program has offered a reward of $5m each for the capture of Mohammed Ali Hamadei and Ramadan Abdullah Mohammad Shallah. Hamadei is accused of membership in Hezbollah and involvement in the hijacking of TWA flight 847 in 1985 and the murder of Navy diver Robert Stetham. Shallah, one of the founders of Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), is wanted for conspiracy to conduct the affairs of the PIJ through a pattern of racketeering activities such as bombings, murder, extortions and money laundering.
http://www.rewardsforjustice.net/english/index.cfm?page=shallah
http://www.rewardsforjustice.net/english/index.cfm?page=hamadei

Egypt has released Hassan Mustafa Osama Nasr ("Abu Omar"). In 2003, US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) operatives kidnapped him in Italy and rendered him to Egypt, where he was tortured.
http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=42569

At least 40 members of the Muslim Brotherhood have been ordered to a military court. On Thursday, the crackdown against the Brotherhood escalated further with another 72 arrests. Human Rights Watch has collected named of 226 members of the banned, nonviolent organization, and calls for their release, saying they were detained solely for exercising their rights to freedom of expression and association.
http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7006430111
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=299110
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2007/02/15/egypt15329.htm

Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told ABC television news reporter Diane Sawyer on Monday that "When it come to Iraq, we have made it clear that kind of lack of security, insecurity in Iraq is also to our disadvantage and also disadvantage to the nations of the region", and suggests that instead of facing reality, the US is pointing fingers at others. He insists that peace in Iraq can be best achieved with the departure of all foreigners, and does not fear an attack by the US, which would be severely punished. Last Sunday anonymous US officials claimed to have proof by inference that the highest levels of Iran's government had provided sophisticated weapons used to kill US soldiers in Iraq. There is broad skepticism over the US allegations.
http://abcnews.go.com/GMA/story?id=2868077&page=1
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6353489.stm

In southeastern Iran, a car bomb exploded on Wednesday, killing at least 18 members of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards as they traveled by bus. Jundollah ("Soldiers of God"), an al-Qaeda-linked Sunni militant group, has claimed responsibility. On Friday a bomb went off at a girl's school: there were no casualties. Fighting between armed militants and police followed the attacks.
http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleView/Default.asp?NewsCode=49711
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article2271660.ece
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/16/iran.bombing/index.html

On Monday the Islamic calendar marked the first anniversary of the 22 February 2006 attack on the holy Shiite shrine, the Golden Mosque (Al-Askari) in Samarra. The devastating attack, which destroyed the famous gold dome and led to large, angry protests that killed more than a hundred people in a day, and launched a year of growing sectarian conflict. Prime Minister Nouri Maliki set a 15-minute period of silence beginning at midday to mark the Samarra attack. During that time, instead of silence there were four large bombings in market areas of Baghdad. At least 79 people were killed and nearly 200 were injured.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/middle_east/4738472.stm
http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/02/630CF5FF-8083-4955-A5E9-AAFA5FB89B9B.html

Also on Monday, police found 32 bodies scattered around Baghdad. A drive-by shooting targeted an Interior Ministry employee: they killed one of her bodyguards and injured a second. Falahiya police found the body of a policeman kidnapped last week: he had been tortured. Kut gunmen killed a primary school guard, who had been a member of Saddam Hussein's Baath party. Clashed between insurgents and police in Mosul left six policemen injured. Mosul police also found three bodies. Mortar rounds in the town of Nahrawan killed at least five and injured 12.

On Tuesday, a car bomb in the southeastern al-Ameen district of Baghdad killed four and injured four. A suicide bomber in Baghdad's western Iskan district killed 18 and injured 40. Mahmudiya police found three bodies, tortured then shot.

Wednesday, a car bomb near a Baghdad hospital killed four and injured ten. A roadside bomb targeting a police patrol killed one and injured three in Baghdad's northern al-Sulaikh district. Another roadside bomb killed a civilian in the Yarmouk district. A market car bomb killed two and injured seven. Mortar rounds in the Rashdiya suburb killed one and injured 16. The US military confirmed that the transport helicopter that crashed the week before was not a mechanical failure, but rather was shot down with sophisticated weaponry. US and Iraqi forces carried out multiple operations. Clashes in Yarmouk district injured three soldiers. US strikes reportedly killed 15 insurgents. There were more than ten arrests. In Diwaniya, a former police captain was assassinated in front of his house. A car bomb in Mosul killed three and injured 20. A suicide bomber in Ramadi killed at least five people and injured 20 at the entrance of a police station. In Samawa, gunmen killed a policeman, and authorities imposed a curfew. A US soldier died of injuries sustained in fighting on Tuesday, and a Marine was killed in combat in Anbar province.

On Thursday Iraqi and US forces continued their effort to control Baghdad. They killed two insurgents, injured 33, confiscated weapons and made multiple arrests. The heavy security presence did not prevent 20 bodies around the city, and multiple attacks. Two separate car bombs in Doura district killed four and injured 20. A bomb in a bus killed three and injured 25 in Sadr City. A sniper in Adhamiya district left an Iraqi soldier dead, and a policeman was shot dead in Amil district. A car bomb targeting an Iraqi patrol injured a soldier. Hawija gunmen stormed the town and set off three car bombs that killed three. A gun battle followed, lasting for several hours, and left four dead. A roadside bomb near Kirkuk killed two and injured a third. A fake checkpoint in Kirkuk was the scene of an ambush: three of Foreign Minister Hoshiyar Zebari's guards were killed, and five injured. Two gunmen also died. In Mosul, gunmen killed a policeman; a roadside bomb targeting a patrol killed another; and four bodies were found.

In the 24 hours to Friday evening, 11 bodies were found in Baghdad. A US marine was killed in Anbar province. Iraq Brigadier General Qassim Moussawi said that four militants were killed and 144 captured in the prior three days, and that violence in Baghdad had declined by 80 percent. A US Marine died in Anbar.

On Saturday a double car bombing killed at least 10 people and injured 83, many critically, in a crowded market in Kirkuk. In Hilla, an armed assault left a policewoman and her young daughter stabbed to death in their home. Fierce fighting in Hit left two policemen dead and five injured. Some 50 insurgents, including members of al Qaeda and Ansar al-Sunna, were arrested. A suicide bomber in Kerbala killed himself and injured two policemen. A Kut policeman was shot dead as he arrived home. Near Suwayra, police said they found the headless bodies of two men dressed in civilian clothes in the Tigris River. In Baghdad, a US soldier died of small arms fire, and another soldier was killed in a grenade explosion. Five bodies were found across the city.

Today, two car bombs ripped apart a crowded market in New Baghdad district, killing at least 60 people and injuring more than 130. A remotely detonated car bomb killed a policeman and a second person, and injured 11 civilians outside a Sadr City restaurant. Three bodies were found in the northern town of Balad. In Basra, UK and Iraqi forces clashed with gunmen, killing three. A suspected insurgent leader was captured in Mosul, where fighting between gunmen and police injured one policeman. Samawa police commander Colonel Ali Mutashar, police commander in Samawa, escaped unharmed after a roadside bomb exploded, but four of his bodyguards were injured. Suwayra police found a bullet-ridden body in a river, and two shot and tortured bodies were found in Sulaiman Pak.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=10&categ_id=2&article_id=79658
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/20DD503F-5FFE-40AC-9FC2-BF5BC34AF877.htm

The UN completed their investigation of last week's exchange of fire between Israeli and Lebanese forces. They found that both sides violated the truce. The exchange of fire, initiated by Lebanon after an Israeli army bulldozer crossed the technical fence in an apparent attempt to clear mines from the area between the technical fence and the Blue Line, constituted a breach of the cessation of hostilities as laid out in Security Council resolution 1701
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21531&Cr=leban&Cr1=

In Lebanon, bombs exploded on two buses in a Christian area of Beirut, killing three people and injuring 20. Syrian state media accused leaders of the March 14 Forces of responsibility.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=79492
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/fisk/article2268090.ece

The second anniversary of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri's assassination was marked on 14 February.
http://www.albawaba.com/en/news/209656
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=79548

Syrian-born German citizen Mohammed Haydar Zammar has been sentenced to 12 years in prison by a court in Damascus for membership in the Muslim Brotherhood. Zammar was one of the first victims of the CIA's extraordinary renditions program.
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,2345192,00.html
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,465783,00.html

In Yemen, continuing clashes between Shia followers of al-Huthi and government forces have killed at least 80 militants and 40 soldiers.
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GTM South Asia
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In Afghanistan, NATO and Taleban forces are preparing for a spring offensive, which could involve some 10,000 militants targeting foreign troops. 2006 was the most violent year since the Taleban ouster in 2001, with 4,000 deaths: at least a quarter civilians. The US is deploying 3,200 troops to Afghanistan in the spring, instead of Iraq, maintaining US troop levels at 27,000, the highest since the invasion.

This week, Taleban took control of a second district in Helmand province, but NATO says that it has been retaken.

Indian prosecutors have demanded the death penalty for 44 people convicted in the 1993 Bombay (Mumbai) bombings that killed more than 250 people and injured at least a thousand. The 13-year trial will only be concluded after sentencing is complete, but that date has not yet been determined.

In "Destination Karnataka: Multiple Terror Threats" Rajat Kumar Kujur argues that the increasing vulnerability of Karnataka to terrorist threats is a direct result of inequitable economic growth in the state
http://www.ipcs.org/whatsNewArticle1.jsp?action=showView&kValue=2218&status=article&mod=b

Police and protestors in Indian-administered have clashed over the death of a civilian in police custody. Custodial deaths have led to multiple protests, as has those who disappeared. Today four policemen were arrested and one was suspended.
http://www.ndtv.com/morenews/showmorestory.asp?slug=Tension+in+village+over+custodial+death&id=101048
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/NEWS/India/4_cops_held_for_custodial_death_in_JK/articleshow/1635497.cms
http://hrw.org/english/docs/2007/02/15/india15336.htm

Nepal's Maoist rebels have been registering their weapons under UN supervision. Under the peace deal that ended the decade-long insurgency, the Maoists and the army are each depositing a similar number of arms.

In Pakistan's Bajaur tribal region, a bomb killed Abdul Ghani Khan, a senior health official who had been trying to persuade tribal elders to end their opposition to polio immunization.

On Saturday in Balochistan province, a suicide attack tore through a district court complex while in session, killing at least 15 people and injuring dozens.

Fighting between Sri Lankan government forces and Tamil Tiger rebels continued during the week. On Monday, a navy spokesman said that it had destroyed a rebel boat, and killed eight suspected Tigers, and the destruction of a second boat killed three more. In fighting on Wednesday, the army says three Tigers and a policeman were killed in the eastern Ampara area. They say they repulsed a rebel attack in Jaffna that caused unspecified rebel losses, and injured ten soldiers. Reports on Thursday claim another boat interception involving several arrests, and a suicide jacket. On Friday, the Tamil Tigers accused Sri Lankan security forces of killing 39 civilians and causing the disappearance of a similar number over the last two weeks.


2. Political Risk Monitor

What may appear to be a small local event, like publishing a cartoon, can often turn out to have a surprising international impact. Your subscription to the Political Risk Monitor provides this analysis, as well as detailed profiles of individuals and other entities. Each monthly issue also includes quick tips for executives managing multinational operations.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
--------------------------------------------------
PRM Africa
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Central African Republic, Chad and Sudan signed an agreement not to support rebels attacking each other's neighboring territory. France brokered the agreement.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6419411,00.html
http://www.usip.org/pubs/usipeace_briefings/2006/1222_car_chad_sudan.html
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/D17A7148-2E6D-471F-B8E8-2E0FDEF759F3.htm

UN experts who visited Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) warned that DRC continues to pose a threat to international peace and security in the region. This contributed to the Security Council's decision to extend the UN mandate to 15 April. Oxfam warns that scaling down the force could prolong the humanitarian crisis
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21591&Cr=democratic&Cr1=congo
http://www.oxfam.org/en/news/2007/pr070216

Last weekend in Ethiopia, the Borana and Gabra tribes engaged in further fighting over water and grazing rights. At least 19 people were killed and 11 others injured.

Guinea President Lansana Conte, who is elderly and in ill health, kept his promise to hand powers to a Prime Minister, but he chose an insider close to his family, Eugene Camara, who is unacceptable to trade unions protesting economic failure and corruption attributed to Conte's illness and the consequent lack of leadership. There was rioting last weekend, and unions resumed their general strike on Monday. Demonstrations calling for Conte's resignation have often turned violent, with three people killed on Monday, adding to more than 70 dead during similar actions last month. Responding to this situation, Conte declared a "state of siege" and imposed martial law, telling the military to restore order. This step led the African Union to call for an end to the ominous situation, including civilian deaths. And in "Guinea: Change of Chaos", the International Crisis Group warns that "The international community needs to help bring about peaceful but radical change in Guinea if the country is to avoid a blood bath that could spread to its neighbors". By the end of the week toll the death toll had risen past 110. Union leaders will not enter into talks until emergency powers are relaxed. Human Rights Watch has called for security forces to be held accountable.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57604
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6354325.stm
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57659
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4661&l=1
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/149b71de-bbd0-11db-afe4-0000779e2340,_i_rssPage=fc3334c0-2f7a-11da-8b51-00000e2511c8.html
http://www.hrw.org/english/docs/2007/02/15/guinea15350.htm

Ivory Coast has accepted a $198 million payment from Dutch company Trafigura in connection with toxic waste dumping that left ten dead and thousands ill. Other legal actions are ongoing. Three Trafigura employees, detained since September 2006, have been released.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57631
http://presidence.ci/ci/infos_details.php?srub=magazine&idart=4187 (in French)
http://www.trafigura.com/trafigura_news/probo_koala_updates.aspx
http://www.trafigura.com/trafigura_news/news/13022007.aspx
http://www.leighday.co.uk/

Elections in Lesotho took place on 17 February.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6367717.stm

After Spain agreed to pay for medical and travel expenses of hundreds of Asian and African immigrants stranded for a week off the coast of Mauritania, the broken-down ship was towed to the port of Nouadhibou. After treatment in Mauritania, Spain will repatriate the migrants.
http://www.iom.int/jahia/Jahia/pbnAF/cache/offonce?entryId=13079
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57649

Senegal presidential elections are scheduled for 25 February. Prior elections have been peaceful, but there are concerns over multiple incidents in the past week of stone throwing, street battles, and assaults and arson attacks against politicians.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.aspx?reportid=70212

South Africa has expropriated its first farm under its land reform initiative. The Evangelical Lutheran Church, which owns the land, has been paid $4.9 million. Local families have claimed the land.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=298873
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/AA39C296-D037-40DA-8387-6E04A5A7950A.htm

Envoys from the United Nations and African Union told reporters in Khartoum, Sudan, that there is no military solution to the Darfur crisis, which has killed more than 200,000 and displaced two million. Sudan President Omar al-Bashir has again rejected a UN peace force for Darfur and will not grant visas to UN rights monitors.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57651
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=299240
http://www.un.org/apps/news/infocusRel.asp?infocusID=88&Body=Sudan&Body1=

Uganda's parliament has approved a 1,500-troop deployment to lead the African Union peacekeeping mission in Somalia.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57621

Zimbabwe's inflation rate in January leaped to 1,593.6 percent, and shows no sign of slowing, as food and fuel become scarce and prohibitively expensive. Inflation is so high that it destroyed the value of the new currency before a single note had been spent. Government workers, including doctors, nurses, and teachers, are on strike, and the unemployment rate exceeds 80 percent. President Mugabe, standing by land reforms that contributed to the collapse of the agricultural sector, insists that the country's problems are the result of Western sabotage.
http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D8N8RGHG0.htm
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/global/main.jhtml?xml=/global/2007/02/13/wzim13.xml
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PRM Americas
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Canadian's are debating their continued role in Afghanistan, and efforts to justify continued participation to a skeptical public.
http://www.onlinenews.com.pk/details.php?id=108684
http://www.canada.com/topics/news/national/news/story.html?id=5b332a30-3b8f-4cf6-a6ab-ce538b15dcca
http://www.thestar.com/article/182857

Ecuador's Congress has passed a motion to form a national assembly to consider constitutional reforms. The motion passed by 57 votes to one, but most opposition members had walked out of the 100-seat Congress before the vote.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/13/america/LA-GEN-Ecuador-Constitutional-Assembly.php

A year after Haiti's presidential elections, violence remains high, and progress to address reforms and the root causes of instability is slow. The mandate of the UN peacekeeping mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH) has been extended another eight months in support of its recently stepped-up campaign against armed criminal gangs and in support of the Haitian National Police. Armed gangs continue to terrorize the local population through kidnappings, thefts, serious violence against women, and drug trafficking.
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/16710230.htm
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2007/sc8956.doc.htm
http://www.un.org/depts/dpko/missions/minustah

A USA Today/Gallup Poll finds that 63 percent of Americans support congressional action to cap the number of US troops in Iraq and set a timetable to being them home by the end of 2008.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2007-02-12-troops-poll_x.htm

The House of Representatives took the first step towards this by voting 246 to 182 to disapprove of the decision of the President to deploy additional combat troops to Iraq. The vote followed several days of debate, in which each member spoke. 17 Republicans broke ranks with President Bush, and two Democrats voted against the non-binding resolution. Senate Democrats failed to pass a procedural measure to allow them to vote on a similar resolution.
http://clerk.house.gov/cgi-bin/lgwww_bill.pl?400063
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6365715.stm
http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story/0,,2015179,00.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/16/AR2007021600606.html
http://edition.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/02/17/iraq.senate/index.html

The US has agreed to take in up to 7,000 Iraqi refugees and to contribute $18 million for continued humanitarian support. Since the invasion the US has taken in only 463 Iraqi refugees.
http://www.unhcr.org/cgi-bin/texis/vtx/home
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6362289.stm

The US military has enlisted nearly double the previous numbers of convicted felons over the last three years. In 2004 there were 824 felons, rising to 1,605 in 2006, enlisting under the "moral waivers" program. 58,561 illegal drug abusers were also permitted to enlist. The army includes making terrorist threats, murder, and kidnapping among allowable offenses under the waiver.
http://www.palmcenter.org/press/dadt/releases/military_enlistment_of_felons_has_doubled

A New York federal judge has ruled that police must stop routine videotaping of people at public gatherings unless there is an indication of unlawful activity.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/16/nyregion/16police.html
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PRM Asia Pacific
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Australian Prime Minister John Howard responded to the US Senator Barack Obama's announcement that he would seek the Democratic presidential nomination by saying that Obama's opposition to the war in Iraq "will just encourage those who want to completely destabilize and destroy Iraq, and create chaos and a victory for the terrorists to hang on and hope for an Obama victory. If I were running al-Qaeda in Iraq, I would put a circle around March 2008 and be praying as many times as possible for a victory not only for Obama but also for the Democrats". Senator Obama was flattered to be attacked all the way from Australia, and said, "I would also note that we have close to 140,000 troops on the ground now, and my understanding is Mr Howard has deployed 1,400, so if he is (ready) to fight the good fight in Iraq, I would suggest that he calls up another 20,000 Australians and sends them to Iraq. Otherwise it's just a bunch of empty rhetoric".
http://www.pm.gov.au/news/interviews/Interview2369.html
http://www.barackobama.com/

China is celebrating the Lunar New Year. This year of the pig will be particularly auspicious because it is a golden pig, which happens only once in 60 years.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6368383.stm

East Timor President Xanana Gusmao will not stand for another term, but he has formed a new political party, the National Council of Timorese Resistance (CNRT).
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/gusmaos-new-party-shakes-east-timors-political-foundations/2007/02/16/1171405446826.html

Following the nuclear disarmament agreement reached this week, North and South Korea have agreed to resume ministerial talks later this month.

At the invitation of the Philippines government, UN Human Rights Council's independent expert for extrajudicial executions, Philip Alston, will investigate the issue of extrajudicial executions.
http://www.unhchr.ch/huricane/huricane.nsf/view01/66D17687423B6C1CC12572800035DF75?opendocument

The Solomon Islands government, meeting with the Pacific Islands Forum, has demanded an exit strategy that includes a timeframe for Australian-led peacekeepers to withdraw.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/gusmaos-new-party-shakes-east-timors-political-foundations/2007/02/16/1171405446826.html

After Taiwan authorities indicted Ma Ying-jeou on charges of forgery and embezzlement, he resigned from his position as leader of the opposition Kuomintang party, but promises to clear his name and run for president.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-02/13/content_5735776.htm
http://english.rti.org.tw/Content/GetSingleNews.aspx?ContentID=31238

Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov has been sworn in as Turkmenistan's new president, after winning 89 percent of last Sunday's vote. In "Turkmenistan after Niyazov", the International Crisis Group suggests, "The international community should condition its relations with the new Turkmen government on the start of real reforms, not promises, and in the meantime should track down and freeze the overseas assets of ex-President Niyazov".
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57622
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4659&l=1

Vanuatu's John Frum Movement, a cargo cult, has celebrated its 50th anniversary.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/2/story.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10424246
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6370991.stm
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PRM Europe
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"Ensuring Bosnia's Future: A New International Engagement Strategy" is a new report from the International Crisis Group that finds: "A great deal has been achieved in the past eleven years in Bosnia, but ethnic nationalism remains too strong for the international community to declare victory and leave. At risk are the survival of a unified Bosnia and the stability of much of the Western Balkans. The EU should now become the central international player in Bosnia, with a Special Representative taking over the responsibilities of the Office of the High Representative (OHR) by the end of 2007. But no attempt should be made to transfer OHR’s special “Bonn powers”, by which it could impose legislation and remove elected officials: these have become effectively unexerciseable".
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4655&l=1

Estonia's president Toomas Hendrik Ilves has refused to sign a law that would require the government to remove a Soviet war memorial because he believes sections of the law are unconstitutional.
http://euronews.net/create_html.php?page=detail_info&article=406738&lng=1
http://www.sptimes.ru/index.php?action_id=2&story_id=20383

A French appeal court has rejected Agathe Habyarimana's asylum request, upholding a previous decision of the Office for the Protection of Refugees. The widow of murdered Rwandan President Juvenal Habyarimana, whose death triggered the 1994 genocide, has become the subject of a lawsuit alleging that she was involved in the genocide. Previously, Rwanda had asked France to arrest and deport her to stand trial in Rwanda.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/15/europe/EU-GEN-France-Rwanda-Asylum.php

French Nazi collaborator Maurice Papon has died, aged 96.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6356611.stm

German Holocaust denier Ernst Zuendel was convicted of 14 counts of inciting racial hatred and for denying that the Nazis killed six million Jews during World War II. He has been sentenced to five years in jail.

Kosovo's Interior Minister Fatmir Rexhepi has resigned at the request of the UN administrator for Kosovo, following the death last weekend of two Albanian demonstrators.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21563&Cr=kosovo&Cr1=

Russian President Vladimir Putin has reshuffled the government. Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov has been appointed first deputy prime minister. Chechen President Alu Alkhanov has been appointed deputy Russian justice minister. Prime Minister Ramzan Kadyrov succeeds him. Kadyrov is a former rebel fighter accused of serious human rights abuses.
http://en.rian.ru/trend/reshuffle/
http://www.guardian.co.uk/russia/article/0,,2015160,00.html

Serbia's parliament has overwhelmingly rejected a UN plan to give supervised independence to the breakaway province of Kosovo.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/yugo/article/0,,2014030,00.html
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21606&Cr=Kosovo&Cr1=
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PRM Middle East
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The Palestinian government resigned on Thursday to make way for a new unity government. Fatah leader and Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas has asked Hamas leader and Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh to form the new government within five weeks. Israeli Prime Minister Olmert says that he has received assurances that US President Bush will not recognize the new government. EU nations have reacted in different ways, but want to reach a solution. The EU has not yet resumed direct aid. Russia hailed the agreement and called for the blockade to be lifted.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/F47B0283-CA6D-44E1-BD61-44FECB610759.htm
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/02/19/wispal19.xml
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/5C0BC329-FB82-423B-A943-74F406044CDB.htm

Iraq has launched the Baghdad security crackdown, which includes control over movements, border closures, and curfews, and suspends weapons permits apart from security forces.

The International Organization for Migration warns that Iraq's displaced population, which reached 1.4 million before 2006, could add another million people this year.
http://www.iom.int/jahia/Jahia/pbnAF/cache/offonce?entryId=13117
http://www.zawya.com/story.cfm/sidFFT10704627549951/SecCountries/pagIraq

Iraq's High Court sentenced Saddam Hussein's former Vice President Taha Yassin Ramadan to be hanged for the 1980s Dujail massacre. Their ruling overturns the trial court's sentence of life in prison.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/2333287.stm

Deputy Israeli Prime Minister and Minister of Strategic Affairs Avigdor Lieberman, in an interview with Der Spiegel, discussed resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, ethnic cleansing, and response to the Iranian nuclear program, including unilateral action.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,465769,00.html

A Knesset panel is debating whether to impeach President Moshe Katsav, who faces indictment for rape, sexual harassment, and abuse of power.
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?c=JPArticle&cid=1170359854707&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/826624.html

Jerusalem mayor Uri Lupolianski has put off controversial construction work near the al Aqsa mosque/Temple Mount to allow public consultation, although preparatory excavations continue. Israeli Prime Minister Olmert reached agreement on his visit to Turkey with Prime Minister Erdogan that Turkey will send a team of experts to Jerusalem to survey the work. In addition, video cameras have been installed to film the work, and broadcast it online. In the latest twist to the controversy, work has been delayed following the discovery of a Byzantine mosaic.
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/22824AAD-E2A3-4519-8565-633DA3FF8529.htm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/from_our_own_correspondent/6349177.stm
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article2271661.ece
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PRM South Asia
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While NATO forces gather strength in preparation for a spring offensive with Taleban and al Qaeda, others are working in Afghanistan to break the cycle of conflict and poverty.
http://www2.hq.nato.int/isaf/
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/from_our_own_correspondent/6368741.stm

Bangladesh's electoral commission is implementing strict anti-corruption guidelines that will even ban people who defaulted on utility bills from the polls.
http://www.thedailystar.net/2007/02/16/d7021601011.htm

India's technology center and the state of Karnataka's capital Bangalore, has closed down during a general strike that was called to protest the Cauvery tribunal's decision to provide nearly twice as much water to Tamil Nadu state as to Karnatake.
http://www.ibnlive.com/news/water-war-leads-to-ktaka-bandh/33337-3.html
http://in.today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2007-02-12T145935Z_01_NOOTR_RTRJONC_0_India-287306-2.xml

"India: ‘Hidden Apartheid’ of Discrimination Against Dalits" is a new report from Human Rights Watch that finds India has systematically failed to uphold its international legal obligations to ensure the fundamental human rights of Dalits ("untouchables"), despite laws and policies against caste discrimination.
http://hrw.org/english/docs/2007/02/13/india15303.htm

Nepal's Red Cross has launched a public appeal for information on the fate of more than 800 people who remain missing after the decade-long insurgency. Although about 50 are believed killed, the others were either arrested by security forces or captured by Maoist rebels.
http://www.icrc.org/Web/Eng/siteeng0.nsf/html/nepal-news-140207!OpenDocument

Sri Lanka has promised to deal with Tamil Tiger terrorism firmly, with an iron fist, but maintains that the peace process is still alive.
http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/news/stories/s1848960.htm


3. AML/CFT Monitor

 

Anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism is not simply an issue of compliance with local regulations. It is a global crime that can only be understood by crossing national or regional boundaries. Subscribers to the monthly AML/CFT Monitor receive information and analysis of worldwide incidents, trends, legal and regulatory issues, modalities, and related topics such as financial fraud and narcoterrorism.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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AML/CFT Incidents/Cases
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Bosnia Herzegovina federal police are working to identify the source of financing for about ten suspected Islamic militants and their activities in a mosque.
http://www.javno.com/en/world/clanak.php?id=21009

Canadian police have charged Wwie Kee Chen with money laundering and other charges after finding a passenger attempting to board a flight with thousands of dollars in a bag full of cash.
http://www.mississauganews.com/mi/peelpolice/story/3879872p-4488033c.html

In the Caribbean island of Curacao, a young man "MK" stood trial on money laundering, terrorist financing, and smuggling charges. The first two charges were dropped, and MK was convicted of transporting money among Netherlands Antilles islands without declaring it to customs. He was sentenced to a fine of $6,000 or 120 days in jail. Originally from Lebanon, he traveled with an older colleague who will be tried later on similar charges.
http://www.thedailyherald.com/news/daily/j225/Money225.html

Nigeria's Adamawa State Governor Boni Haruna has been impeached following accusations of using London-based attorney Prince Ned Nwoko in laundering money.
http://allafrica.com/stories/200702150004.html

Spanish investigators report that although the 29 people now on trial for the 2004 Madrid train bombings were inspired by al Qaeda, they received no financing from the organization.
http://www.cbn.com/CBNnews/104943.aspx

Police in Bristol, England, arrested 14 people on suspicion on money laundering associated with check fraud and other proceeds of crime.
http://www.avonandsomerset.police.uk/LocalPages/NewsDetails.aspx?nsid=7551

Kin Chan has been jailed for six months, his wife Carina 3-months suspended, and they have been ordered to pay GBP1.5 million after admitting laundering money through suppressing the income of its popular Chinese restaurant in Wales, leading to tax frauds.
http://icwales.icnetwork.co.uk/0100news/0200wales/tm_headline=-1-5m-money-laundering-scandal&method=full&objectid=18624264&siteid=50082-name_page.html

In a US federal court in Massachusetts, Frank Magliochetti, former President and CEO of home healthcare company Med Diversified, pleaded guilty to embezzling $330,000 and laundering the funds to conceal their source, also falsely identifying them on his tax return.
http://www.usdoj.gov/usao/ma/Press%20Office%20-%20Press%20Release%20Files/Feb2007/magliochetti-plea.html

US district court in Oregon has entered into a plea agreement with Thu Hang Thi Nguyen for money laundering in connection with her boyfriend's drug business. He, Mark Phommachanh, is serving a 3-year federal prison term for conspiracy to distribute more than 100 kilos of marijuana. She had to forfeit a house, a diamond ring, and cash, and is likely to spend at least a year in prison.
http://www.kgw.com/news-local/stories/kgw_021407_news_money_laundering.8395134c.html
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AML/CFT Legislation and Regulation
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Australia and Turkey have signed a Memorandum of Understanding on cooperation for counter-terrorism and organized crime, including AML/CFT efforts.
http://www.foreignminister.gov.au/releases/2007/fa014_07.html

This opinion piece calls into question Bangladesh Bank's ability to check money laundering.
http://nation.ittefaq.com/artman/publish/article_34084.shtml

The UN is considering whether or not sanctions should be imposed on Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) as a way of cleaning up the mining industry. However, the outcome of sanctions is uncertain, and likely to have only a marginal effect, while potentially being perceived as punitive. The goal is to ensure greater security for artisanal miners, less exposure to extortion by armed groups and the assurance of more revenues.
http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=S/2007/68

The Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) has implemented several AML/CFT procedures to ensure transparent trade in gems and precious metals, and to encourage a reputation as a city that cracks down on illegal financial activities. Among these measures are customer identification initiatives and forgery-resistant documents.
http://www.gulfnews.com/business/Commodities/10104066.html

India is amending the Prevention of Money Laundering Act to make customs fraud punishable at the same level as terrorism financing.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Invoice_tweaking_may_land_you_in_jail/articleshow/1600973.cms

Jamaica's Senate has approved the designation of insurance brokers and intermediaries as financial institutions for the purpose of the Money Laundering Act.
http://www.radiojamaica.com/news/story.php?category=5&story=32851
http://www.jis.gov.jm/parliament/html/20070212T100000-0500_11216_JIS_INSURANCE_BROKERS_AND_INTERMEDIARIES_TO_BE_DESIGNATED_FINANCIAL_INSTITUTIONS.asp

Nevis Premier and Minister of Finance Joseph Parry has assured the Caribbean Financial Action Task Force that the administration is committed to enhancing AML/CFT regulation and supervision.
http://www.caribbeannetnews.com/cgi-script/csArticles/articles/000058/005860.htm

Russia’s Federal Service for Financial Markets (FSFM) oversight body is monitoring 8,000 names on a list of suspected terrorists or extremists.
http://www.tass.ru/eng/level2.html?NewsID=11248289&PageNum=0

Spain's new requirement to declare international money exchanges in excess of EU3,000 came into force this week.
http://www.surinenglish.com/noticias.php?Noticia=10072

"Sweden: Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes - FATF Recommendations for Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism" has been released. It finds Swedish AML/CFT legal requirements are generally comprehensive, but perhaps not entirely effective. Penalties for money laundering are low and there have been a limited number of convictions. The terrorist financing offence is broad but does not specifically cover collecting/providing funds for a terrorist organisation or individual terrorist. Additional resources would improve FIU functions, and there is a need to adopt comprehensive customer due diligence requirements. Recordkeeping and reporting are good but could be more effective. Supervisory powers should be given additional resources to expand with regard to money exchange and remittance companies and deposit companies. Suspicious activity reports indicate that the main predicate offences are drug crimes, smuggling and illegal trade of alcohol and tobacco, theft, fraud, document forgery, receiving, human trafficking, violation of the Firearms Act, bribery, dishonesty to creditors, violation of the Companies Act, tax and VAT evasions crime and bookkeeping crimes. Money laundering operations are increasingly complex, through individuals or groups connected to organized crime, electronic transfers, and bank accounts abroad. Terrorist financing has not been a major problem, and has not involved funding from abroad. The few people supporting extremist causes engage in various types of fraud and also seem to acquire funds from theft or fraudulent behavior in shops, as well as through fundraising through individual donors. In October 2005, two individuals were convicted under the Swedish counter terrorist financing legislation. Sweden is in the process of reviewing its legislation for the purposes of implementing the third EU Money Laundering Directive.
http://www.fatf-gafi.org/dataoecd/26/35/36461995.pdf

In "Turkmenistan after Niyazov", the International Crisis Group recommends that the international community should track down and freeze the overseas assets of the late President Niyazov, releasing them only on the strict proviso that they be used to implement reforms;
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4659&l=1

Now that the UK's Assets Recovery Agency is being closed, BBC File On 4 asks if this is a "Government reprieve for Mr Big?"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/file_on_4/6354635.stm

The Law Society of England and Wales has launched a campaign against disproportionate regulation, including "risky" and "unworkable" draft regulations on the EU's Third Money Laundering Directive.
http://www.lawsociety.org.uk/newsandevents/news/majorcampaigns/view=newsarticle.law?CAMPAIGNSID=217590

The US Treasury designated three Iranian companies - Kalaye Electric Company, Kavoshyar Company, and Pioneer Energy Industries Company - as supporting Iran's proliferation of weapons of mass destruction pursuant to Executive Order 13382, which prohibit all transactions between the designees and any US person and freeze any assets the designees may have under U.S. jurisdiction.
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp267.htm

Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has issued a statement of licensing policy regarding certain transactions of two Colombian Government-controlled entities previously named as Specially Designated Narcotics Traffickers: G.L.G. S.A. and Ramal S.A.
http://www.treas.gov/press/releases/hp268.htm

The US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia has upheld a lower court ruling that upheld the Treasury's decision to freeze the assets of the Islamic American Relief Agency USA for its connections with a Sudanese charity accused of financing al Qaeda and other designated terrorist organizations.
http://pacer.cadc.uscourts.gov/docs/common/opinions/200702/05-5447a.pdf
http://columbiamissourian.com/news/story.php?ID=24223

In January, New York District Judge Nina Gershon ruled that the Arab Bank would stand trial for funding terror attacks in Israel, in a suit filed by 1,600 plaintiffs, most of them Israelis harmed in terror attacks. This article describes the strategy behind the suit.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/825659.html

The Florida International Bankers' Association (FIBA) held its annual AML Compliance Conference, where the dominant issues were around the costs of regulation and the need for balance.
http://www.antimoneylaundering-fiba.com/
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/16700079.htm

Former Treasury Undersecretary John Taylor describes the CFT experiences after 9/11 from his new book, "Global Financial Warriors".
http://marketplace.publicradio.org/shows/2007/02/12/PM200702126.html
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AML/CFT Modalities
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In an interview with Colombian magazine Semana, US Drug Enforcement Agency chief of operations Michael Braun said that most of the cocaine entering the US has passed through the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), which he described as half terrorists, half traffickers. He said that made up to $1 billion a year from trafficking. United Self Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC) paramilitaries are also involved.
http://www.semana.com/wf_InfoArticulo.aspx?IdArt=100945 (in Spanish)

This article describes money laundering activities of AUC:
http://english.eluniversal.com/2007/02/12/en_pol_art_12A834573.shtml

India's National Security Advisor M K Narayanan told the 43rd Munich Conference on Security Policy that terrorist organizations are floating fictitious companies to manipulate stock markets and other tactics using legitimate banking channels.
http://www.securityconference.de/konferenzen/rede.php?sprache=en&id=198&
http://www.indianexpress.com/story/23370.html
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Watchdogs_sniff_money_laundering_in_IPOs/articleshow/1625632.cms


4. Emerging Threat Monitor

Climate change, pandemics, and global economic imbalances are just a few of the threats emerging in this 21st century. Subscribers to the Emerging Threat Monitor stay a step ahead with monthly analysis of trends and responses worldwide. It offers executives a heads-up of new risks, and details of the policies and best practices gleaned from every country around the globe.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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ETM Corruption and Transnational Crime
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Donegal International, part-owned and operated by the US Debt Advisory International, purchased $42 million Zambian debt for 44 million, then took legal action to obtain the full amount plus interest: $55 million. The UK judge criticized Donegal and its manager Michael Sheehan as dishonest and misleading, but in a strict interpretation of the law ordered Zambia to pay about $20 million.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/newsnight/6370385.stm
http://www.oxfam.org.uk/applications/blogs/pressoffice/2007/02/vulture_fund_must_not_take_cas.html
http://www.oxfam.org.uk/what_you_can_do/campaign/he/donegal/vulture_fund.htm
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/23104b92-bd5e-11db-b5bd-0000779e2340.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/frontpage/story/0,,2014588,00.html

China plans to set up a new anti-corruption agency.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2007-02/14/content_808852.htm

Weng Zhendong has been sentenced to death in China for a fake ant-breeding project that netted him $390 million in three years. Fifteen staff members were jailed for between five and ten years. Ants are used in some traditional remedies in China.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2007-02/16/content_810913.htm

Germany's increasing export trade has increased the temptation for financial fraud.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/15/business/worldbusiness/15scandal.html

Mexican authorities are investigating possible connections between Acapulco Mayor Felix Salgado and drug cartels.
http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/miami/23373.html

US federal prosecutors are investigating Nevada Governor Jim Gibbons for possibly receiving gifts in violation of federal contracting rules.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/02/16/politics/main2485947.shtml
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ETM Economies and Financial Systems
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"Going for Growth" is a new report from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). It warns that advanced countries should not be complacent about recent growth, but rather step up the pace of reform. It tailors recommendations for each country, but lists common priorities:
* For much of continental Europe the main focus is on improving labor market performance to reduce unemployment and lift labor force participation.
* For lower-income countries, as well as in Japan and Switzerland, raising productivity is the main challenge. Priorities focus more on liberalization of product markets, especially in network industries and in services.
* English-speaking countries generally display good labor market performance but need to raise skill levels, in particular through improvements in secondary education.
* Many EU countries need to strengthen higher-education systems to improve graduation rates and, in some cases, the quality of teaching and research.
http://www.oecd.org/document/45/0,2340,en_2649_201185_38086509_1_1_1_1,00.html

Standard and Poor's new report, "Tightening Market Increases Risks For Engineering, Procurement And Construction Contracts" warns that unprecedented global demand for new power plants and other infrastructure facilities is rapidly increasing capital costs at a time when bankruptcies and consolidations have reduced the availability of construction contractors.
http://www.standardandpoors.com

China's trade surplus jumped 67 percent in January, exporting $15.88 billion more than it imported, compared to $9.5 billion in January 2006. Although the late Chinese New Year affected the rise, this development is likely to increase pressure on Beijing to allow its currency to float freely. This announcement followed a report of another record US trade deficit.
http://english.gov.cn/2007-02/12/content_525133.htm
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/trade/2007-02-13-trade-gap_x.htm
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China_Business/IB15Cb03.html
http://washingtontimes.com/upi/200-7635r.htm

Cyprus has submitted its formal application to become part of the Eurozone next year.
http://www.observercyprus.com/observer/NewsDetails.aspx?id=1175

The European Court of Justice has ruled that a German rule forbidding any Volkswagen shareholder from exercising more than 20 percent of voting rights regardless of their holdings prevents the free flow of capital and breaks EU rules. The Volkswagen Law came into effect during the company's privatization in the 1960s.
http://curia.europa.eu/jurisp/cgi-bin/form.pl?lang=EN&Submit=Rechercher$docrequire=alldocs&numaff=C-112/05&datefs=&datefe=&nomusuel=&domaine=&mots=&resmax=100

The World Bank sponsored a high-level meting to raise reconstruction funds. As the conference opened, US Secretary of State Rice told Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf that the US would write off Liberia's $391 million debt. Liberia, with a population of three million, has a debt of $3.7 billion.
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/NEWS/0,,contentMDK:21217488~pagePK:64257043~piPK:437376~theSitePK:4607,00.html

Zimbabwe's inflation rate in January leaped to 1,593.6 percent.
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ETM Environment and Climate Change
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Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper announced a new ecoTrust to support provincial projects that will result in real reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants. C$2.5 billion ($1.3 billion US) will be invested in such projects as improving access to new technologies for the trucking sector; developing renewable energy sources in rural regions; a pilot plant for production of cellulosic ethanol; promoting geothermal heat pumps in the residential sector; supporting technological research and innovation for the reduction and sequestration of greenhouse gases; supporting the capture of biogas from landfill sites; and supporting waste treatment and energy recovery from agricultural biomass.
http://www.pm.gc.ca/eng/media.asp?category=1&id=1532

The EU's response to climate change is the topic of this article:
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/58

New Zealand's Prime Minister Helen Clark has included becoming the first zero emission country as one of the government's priorities. Becoming carbon neutral would make New Zealand the greenest country in the world.
http://www.beehive.govt.nz/ViewDocument.aspx?DocumentID=28357

UK Secretary of State Hilary Benn spoke on Valentine's Day to an international sustainable food conference on air miles, roses and ending poverty. Recent research finds that the emissions produced by growing flowers in Kenya and flying them to the UK can be less than a fifth of those grown in heated and lighted greenhouses in Holland, because Kenya is warm and sunny, and heating greenhouses in Holland uses enormous amounts of fossil fuels.
http://www.dfid.gov.uk/news/files/pressreleases/valentine-flowers.asp
http://www.agrifoodstandards.net/en/articles/global/fair_miles_the_concept_of_food_miles_through_a_sustainable_development_lens.html
http://blogs.guardian.co.uk/observer/archives/2006/08/17/food_for_the_th.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_politics/6356383.stm
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article1362750.ece

The UK Environment Agency has launched an inquiry into chemicals polluting underground water supplies and the atmosphere 30 years after Monsanto chemical company allegedly paid contractors to dump thousands of tons of highly toxic waste into a landfill site in south Wales.
http://environment.guardian.co.uk/waste/story/0,,2011024,00.html

The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has, under pressure of legal action, agreed to introduce new regulations to reduce toxic emissions from gasoline, vehicles, and fuel containers to 80 percent below 1999 emissions. This for the first time regulates emissions of benzene, a carcinogen.
http://www.epa.gov/otaq/toxics.htm#regdocs
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ETM Human Rights
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The European Court of Justice (ECJ) considered a case brought regarding a 1943 massacre of civilians by German soldiers, in which 676 Greek villagers were killed. Their descendents brought action in Greece for financial loss, nonmaterial damage and mental anguish caused by the German soldiers. Greek courts dismissed the action for lack of jurisdiction, and asked whether the case fell within the Brussels Convention. ECJ found that although certain legal actions between a public authority and a person governed by private law may come within the scope of the Brussels Convention, that is not the case where the public authority acts in the exercise of its public powers. Operations conducted by armed forces are a characteristic emanation of State sovereignty and, consequently, a legal action such as this does not fall within the scope of the Brussels Convention.
http://curia.europa.eu/jurisp/cgi-bin/form.pl?lang=EN&Submit=rechercher&numaff=C-292/05

Indonesian law has failed domestic workers, leaving 2.5 million people, some as young as 12, vulnerable to abusive employers.
http://web.amnesty.org/library/Index/ENGASA210022007

The Innocence Project is reviewing 354 convictions to see whether DNA tests should be done. This follows 12 people exonerated by DNA evidence in Dallas County, a higher level than any other county in the US, and all but two states.
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/localnews/stories/021607dnmetinnocence.179e9f3.html
http://www.innocenceproject.org/Content/323.php
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ETM Infectious Diseases
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The World Health Organization met with 16 manufacturers from ten countries, and found promising results on an avian influenza vaccine.
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/notes/2007/np07/en/index.html

Indonesia has agreed to resume sharing of influenza viruses with the World Health Organization.
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2007/s02/en/index.html

Indonesia is continuing infection control measures, including bans on backyard poultry and culling, as the number of H5N1 deaths reaches 65.

An Egyptian woman has died of H5N1 avian influenza, bringing to 13 the number of confirmed deaths in Egypt. In all, Egypt has confirmed 21 cases.
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2007_02_16/en/index.html

Following an H5N1 avian influenza death in Nigeria, Ivory Coast has increased poultry surveillance.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.aspx?reportid=70233

Japanese scientists report the alarming possibility that rats were responsible for transmitting avian influenza into four poultry farms over the past month.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/bird-flu-outbreaks-blamed-on-rats/2007/02/18/1171733612885.html

The UK Veterinary Laboratory Agency (VLA) completed its analysis of the H5N1 viruses found in Suffolk and Hungary. The analysis revealed a similarity of 99.96 percent, which indicates that the viruses are essentially identical. The Health Protection Agency (HPA) completed testing on four people involved in the outbreak who exhibited respiratory symptoms. H5N1 tests were negative and they are being treated under normal clinical care or have been discharged.
http://www.defra.gov.uk/news/2007/070213b.htm
http://www.hpa.org.uk/hpa/news/articles/press_releases/2007/070213_holton_avian_flu.htm

Researchers at Children's Hospital Boston and Harvard Medical School have discovered the receptor through which the life-threatening hemorrhagic fever viruses Machupo, Guanarito, Junin and Sabia enter and attack the body's cells, and show that infection can be inhibited by blocking this receptor.
http://www.childrenshospital.org/newsroom/Site1339/mainpageS1339P1sublevel281.html

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) researchers have found a weakness in an HIV protein that could help develop a vaccine.
http://www3.niaid.nih.gov/news/newsreleases/2007/b12antibody.htm
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ETM Legal Systems
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Human Rights Watch reports that girls make up a minority of children who come into contact with justice systems, but they are often easy targets for police violence and violence in detention.
http://hrw.org/english/docs/2007/02/20/global15345.htm

As they dug a grave for one of their fellow inmates, detainees in Democratic Republic of Congo's Bunia Central Prison decided to use the occasion to protest against appalling conditions in the jail, where many have died of disease, and riots and escapes are common.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57623

India's Soli Sorabjee Committee on police reforms recommends creating a federal agency to address serious threats, such as terrorism, trafficking, money laundering, and organized crime.
http://www.indianexpress.com/story/22800.html

The government of Swaziland is strongly opposing efforts by police and prison guards to unionize, under a provision in the new constitution.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57602

The UK Home Office announced plans to build two new prisons, near Liverpool, and in southeast London.
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news/new-prisons-announced
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ETM Natural Resources
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Closure of illegal mines and mine nationalizations raise concerns over tin supplies.
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=28984
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2007/2/14/business/16869906&sec=business
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/17/america/LA-GEN-Bolivia-Mining-Nationalization.php

As part of continuing efforts to close down informal mining activities, Zimbabwe has now made it compulsory for all mines recently closed to pay a Z$1 million review fee and be granted an impact assessment certificate before restarting operations.
http://www.herald.co.zw/inside.aspx?sectid=15145&cat=1
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ETM Populations
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UNICEF released its Report Card 7, which focuses on the well-being of children and young people in the world's most advanced economies. All 21 OECD countries need to improve, but the UK and US rank at the bottom, for poorly addressing non-material needs and poor peer-to-peer interaction. The Netherlands comes out on top in all six categories.
http://www.unicef-icdc.org/presscentre/indexNewsroom.sql
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6359363.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6360517.stm

Young people often come in second in development programs, even though they make up half of the population in many of the world's poorest countries.
http://www.ifad.org/media/press/2007/10.htm

In Botswana, six San Bushmen were arrested and reportedly abused for hunting in the Central Kalahari Game Reserve, despite a court ruling permitting their return to their ancestral lands.
http://www.survival-international.org/news.php?id=2217

Note this article about the musical life of Tuareg tribesmen in the Sahara.
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/africa/article2271650.ece

China's Academy of Social Science warns that large-scale emigration is causing a brain drain. By 2006 a million Chinese students had studied abroad, but two-thirds stay after graduation, a ratio higher than in any other country.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2007-02/13/content_807798.htm

Namibia's Legal Assistance Center (LAC) reports that several thousand San Bushmen remain landless and have yet to reap the benefits of democracy in Namibia. Instead, they remain marginalized and live in extreme poverty.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57603

Rwanda is holding talks with religious leaders to obtain their support for limiting couples to no more than three children. Rwanda's population has risen fourfold in the past 50 years, and its current trajectory would double the population of nearly 9 million by 2030. The economy has not come close to keeping up with this rate of growth.
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ETM Social Responsibility
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A coalition of US institutional investors has established the Climate Watch List to identify companies lagging behind their industry peers in responding to climate change. Among those listed are:
* Banking and Financial: Wells Fargo
* Electric Power: TXU, Dominion Resources, Allegheny Energy
* Coal: Massey Energy and Consol Energy
* Insurance: ACE
* Oil & Gas: ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips
* Retail: Bed Bath & Beyond
http://www.ceres.org/news/news_item.php?nid=267
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/13/business/13climate.html

Socially responsible business practice, making money and pleasing shareholders are no longer necessarily conflicting goals.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/companies/2007-02-14-high-purpose-usat_x.htm

Starbucks will double its coffee purchases in East Africa in two years, and provide additional support to farmers by establishing a support center. It has also agreed not to interfere with Ethiopia pursuing regional trade marking for its coffees.
http://www.starbucks.com/aboutus/pressdesc.asp?id=748
http://allafrica.com/stories/200702170234.html
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ETM Technology
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Intel has unveiled a research chip the size of a fingernail with 80 processing cores, capable of more than a trillion calculations per second, teraflops.
http://www.intel.com/research/platform/terascale/teraflops.htm?iid=newstab+supercomputing

IBM has revealed an on-chip memory technology with the fastest access times ever recorded in embedded dynamic random access memory, eDRAM.
http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/21074.wss

Stem cell and tissue work undertaken by NASA in the 1990s is now being successfully commercialized.
http://www.regenetech.com/content/news/news.html
http://www.nasa.gov/centers/marshall/news/background/facts/cbossfdi.html
http://ipp.nasa.gov/
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ETM Weapons (WMD, Proliferation)
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The Treaty of Tlatelolco, which established a nuclear weapon-free zone in Latin America and the Caribbean, celebrated its 40th anniversary.
http://www.caribbean360.com/News/Caribbean/Stories/2007/02/16/NEWS0000004011.html
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21575&Cr=nuclear&Cr1=

North Korea has agreed to shut its main nuclear reactor in return for energy aid worth about $300 million. See Recommended Reading, below, for more information.

Iranian officials say they are willing to consider resuming talks regarding its nuclear programs.
http://today.reuters.com/news/articleinvesting.aspx?type=topNews&storyID=2007-02-14T124322Z_01_BLA443105_RTRUKOC_0_US-IRAN-NUCLEAR.xml
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/12/europe/EU-GEN-Germany-Security-Conference.php
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/14/AR2007021400841.html
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/14/europe/EU-GEN-Russia-US-NKorea-Iran.php

The Financial Times reported on a confidential EU paper that finds both diplomacy and sanctions have failed to stop Iran's nuclear activities. Although negotiations are likely to fail, they must be attempted.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/9222452a-bb66-11db-afe4-0000779e2340.html

Nuclear weapons designer Joseph Martz leads the team developing the US's new generation Reliable Replacement Warheads. He believes that technology is sufficiently advanced to develop a weapons elimination program, and maintain only a virtual stockpile that could be quickly assembled if necessary, but eliminate hair-trigger stockpiles.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/02/13/MNGI1O3N0G1.DTL

Here is recent news on the Litvinenko polonium investigation:
* Litvinenko's close friend Boris Berezovsky said that former KGB agent Andrei Lugovoi was responsible for the poisoning.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6333809.stm
* Former FSB head Alexander Gusak called his former employee a traitor who would have been executed in Soviet times
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article1350687.ece
* Three more people tested positive for polonium-210 exposure, bringing to 16 the number that face potential health risks
http://www.hpa.org.uk/hpa/news/articles/press_releases/2007/070215_pol210_update.htm

China has strengthened nuclear export controls.
http://www.shanghaidaily.com/sp/article/2007/200702/20070217/article_306755.htm

The National Academies Press released the Interim Report on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis. It includes three interim recommendations for FY2007:
* DHS should establish a clear statement of the long-term purposes of its bioterrorism risk analysis
* DHS should improve its analysis of intelligent adversaries
* DHS should increase its risk analysis methodology's emphasis on risk
http://books.nap.edu/catalog/11836.html

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) gave fast-track status for licensing a second post-exposure prophylaxis antibiotic against anthrax.
http://www.emergentbiosolutions.com/NewsReleases.aspx?ReleaseID=961656

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released " Response to a Ricin Incident: Guidelines for Federal, State, and Local Public Health and Medical Officials".
http://www.bt.cdc.gov/agent/ricin/pdf/ricin_protocol.pdf

The US Congressional Research Service (CRS) released "Kinetic Energy Kill for Ballistic Missile Defense: A Status Overview". This report says that review of 30 years of test data reveals mixed and ambiguous results that cannot determine whether the investment is worthwhile.
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/weapons/RL33240.pdf

Poland and the Czech Republic are considering hosting components of the US missile defense system.
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/12/europe/EU-GEN-Poland-US-Missile-Defense.php
http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,,2010893,00.html

Russian Army Chief of Staff Yuri Baluyevsky says that US plans to deploy missile defense in eastern Europe and increasing national arsenals of intermediate range nuclear missiles could encourage Russia to withdraw from the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty.
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070215/60795303.html
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/289ed728-bd26-11db-b5bd-0000779e2340.html


5. Critical Infrastructure Monitor

The 21st century is the interdependent century. Understanding the implicit and explicit networks on which we rely, and the interdependencies among the sectors of the critical infrastructure is essential for business continuity, economic success, and our very survival. The Critical Infrastructure Monitor, published monthly, analyzes these sectors, regulatory frameworks, and issues of enterprise risk management in global supply chains.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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CIM Agriculture and Food
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The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) reports that overall prospects for global cereal production this year are favorable but civil conflicts, bad weather, disease and localized crop losses mean that at least 34 countries will still face food crises.
http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2007/1000493/index.html
http://www.fao.org/docrep/009/j9247e/j9247e00.htm
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs207/en

The International Fund for Agriculture Development (IFAD) has called for enhancing measures to help poor rural farmers have better access to "value chains": activities such as processing and marketing that bring goods from production to consumption, making them more competitive and wealthier.
http://www.ifad.org/media/press/2007/11.htm

Kenya's outbreak of the deadly haemorrghagic Rift Valley fever, which is often transmitted by livestock, has had a deleterious impact on both the meat trade and food security.
http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=91987
http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=91986

A joint investigation into the H5N1 outbreak in the UK has been completed. The Food Standards Agency, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), Health Protection Agency, and Meat Hygiene Service issued a joint final report examining transmission via imported Hungarian turkey meat. The FSA contribution was to check whether meat from a restricted zone in Hungary had been brought to the Bernard Matthews meat processing plant at Holton, Suffolk. They found no evidence that any meat entered the UK food chain from the restricted zones in Hungary; all food importing and processing activities being undertaken at the Bernard Matthews Factory are in line with EC law; and the outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza does not alter the FSA's advice that properly cooked poultry meat remains safe to eat. Investigations continue. Defra identified multiple lapses in hygiene at the turkey farm prior to the infection.
http://www.food.gov.uk/news/newsarchive/2007/feb/flu16feb
http://www.guardian.co.uk/birdflu/story/0,,2015217,00.html

There have been salmonella outbreaks in hummus (UK) and peanut butter (US), requiring product recalls. Both cases are still being investigated, but there are concerns of cross-contamination.
http://www.food.gov.uk/news/newsarchive/2007/feb/bakkavor
http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dbmd/diseaseinfo/salmonellosis_2007/outbreak_notice.htm

These and other outbreaks point to the likelihood of an agroterrorism attack.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/02/15/eveningnews/printable2483410.shtml

US District Court in San Francisco ruled that the US Department of Agriculture violated federal environmental laws when it approved Monsanto's genetically engineered alfalfa without a full environmental impact review.
http://www.centerforfoodsafety.org/Alfalfa_DecisionPR2_14_07.cfm
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CIM Banking and Finance
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The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)_ has published the exposure draft of the International Financial Reporting Standard for Small and Medium-sized entities (SMEs). This reduced accounting rules to 320 pages, to accommodate the needs of smaller companies. The original version is eight times larger, and commensurately more complex.
http://www.iasb.co.uk/

The International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) announced a new Corporate Governance task force to review these existing principles and standards.
http://www.iaisweb.org/070214_press_release_-_corporate_governance.pdf

Nasdaq's bid for the London Stock Exchange (LSE) failed, but the effort helped triple profits. Its next plans are unclear. The LSE, meanwhile, is challenged to grow.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&refer=columnist_wilson&sid=apySao86lRlo
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/f309f092-bbc3-11db-afe4-0000779e2340,dwp_uuid=50b45d26-5b63-11da-b221-0000779e2340.html

The UK Financial Services Authority (FSA) fined Nationwide Building Society GBP980,000 for failing to have effective systems and controls to manage its information security risks, in connection with the theft of a laptop from a Nationwide employee's home last year.
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/Library/Communication/PR/2007/021.shtml

The GSM Association and MasterCard, with 19 mobile operators, are piloting a program for migrant workers and the unbanked to more easily and securely send remittances.
http://3gsmworldcongress.com/pr_070212_03.asp
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CIM Chemical
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The UK Health Protection Agency's Chemical Hazards and Poisons Division released its first Chemical Incident Surveillance System for England and Wales. The report finds that in 2005, 1040 chemical incidents were recorded for England and Wales, compared to 871 in 2004. The incidents ranged from the largest explosion in post-war Europe at the Buncefield oil depot to domestic spillages of mercury. 25 percent of reported incidents were in London and 16 percent in the South East. The chemicals involved in the highest number of incidents were products of combustion (attributable to fires), which account for 27 percent of all reports. In residential properties, metals were frequently involved and one in six incidents involved a leak or spill of mercury. A program of actions has been developed to improve reporting and better identify primary causes of incidents.
http://www.hpa.org.uk/publications/PublicationDisplay.asp?PublicationID=94
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CIM Cybersecurity
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Microsoft's February security update included 12 patches, all but one rated critical, to address 20 vulnerabilities, including several being exploited. Immediately after, a new zero-day attack was found in Microsoft Office.
http://www.channelregister.co.uk/2007/02/14/ms_patch_feb/
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/bulletin/ms07-010.mspx
http://www.microsoft.com/technet/security/advisory/933052.mspx
http://isc.sans.org/diary.html?storyid=1940

A zero-day flaw in Solaris 10's telnet application can allow a root user to log in to any account without a password, through a telnet daemon running as root. Pending a fix, telnet should be disabled: it is turned on by default. Exploits are active.
http://isc.sans.org/diary.html?storyid=2220
http://www.milw0rm.com/exploits/3293

Cisco issued four security alerts this week, addressing serious flaws in appliances, routers, and switches.
http://www.cisco.com/warp/public/707/cisco-sa-20070214-fwsm.shtml
http://www.cisco.com/warp/public/707/cisco-sa-20070213-iosips.shtml

Symantec reminds home computer users to be sure and reset the default password on broadband routers, particularly since simple scripts can modify domain name server settings.
http://www.symantec.com/enterprise/security_response/weblog/2007/02/driveby_pharming_how_clicking_1.html
http://www.cs.indiana.edu/pub/techreports/TR641.pdf

Storm Trojan/Peacomm is now spreading over instant messaging services.
http://www.secureworks.com/research/threats/view.html?threat=storm-worm

Chinese hacker Li Jun will be allowed to release a fix for a worm he helped write with five other people.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-02/14/content_5739792.htm

UK hacker Gary McKinnon has appealed to the High Court against his extradition to the US for allegedly carrying out the biggest military hack in history.
http://news.com.com/U.S.+threatened+alleged+NASA+hacker,+defense+says/2100-7348_3-6160133.html

Online news site USA Voice wins kudos for a phishing scam targeting job seekers.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/09/AR2007020901925.html

Canada's Auditor General warns that poor safeguards of passports and social security numbers present security gaps that present a risk of abuse.
http://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/domino/reports.nsf/html/20070206ce.html

ID Analytics released research on US identity fraud by region, finding the highest rates are in New York, California, Nevada, and Arizona. Wyoming, Vermont and Montana have the lowest rates.
http://www.idanalytics.com/news_and_events/20070214a.html

The US Department of Veterans Affairs initially said that a hard drive lost in January involved 50,000 people, but it now appears that information on 535,000 veterans and 1.3 million physicians may have been compromised.
http://www.house.gov/apps/list/press/al07_davis/VAdatabreachresponse021107.html

US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Inspector General Glenn Fine reports that the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has reduced weapon and laptop losses, but more must be done. Over 44 months, 160 laptops were lost or stolen, and in many cases the department could not determine if sensitive or classified information was compromised.
http://www.usdoj.gov/oig/reports/FBI/a0718/final.pdf

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) reviewed "Selected Agencies Use of Criminal Background Checks for Determining Responsibility". Congress requested the review to address concerns of contractor screening to reduce contractor fraud. Although there were some common practices, there was little data to address instances of fraud. The House Committee on Homeland Security reviewed the Impact of Background and Security Clearances on the Transportation Workforce in a hearing this week.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-215R
http://hsc.house.gov/hearings/index.asp?ID=11&SubSection=0&Issue=0&PublishDate=2/18/2007

The Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) has issued an enhanced Data Protection Law and appointed a Data Protection Commissioner to oversee the administration by the DIFC Authority.
http://dp.difc.ae/news_events/news/1.html
http://dp.difc.ae/guides/faq/

Fear of hacking and lack of time for testing or training has led the Philippines to reject electronic voting systems in the upcoming election.
http://www.philstar.com/philstar/News200702150401.htm
http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/net/2007/02/15/advisory.body.rejects.partial.automation.of.polls.html
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CIM Dams and Bridges
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The Kajaki dam in Afghanistan's southern Helmand province is a major source of electricity and irrigation, and has become a major target of Taleban rebels.
http://www.gulf-times.com/site/topics/article.asp?cu_no=2&item_no=132481&version=1&template_id=41&pa
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21234488-2703,00.html

Australia's Department of Natural Resources is investigating the construction of an illegal dam that stopped water flow along a section of the Wakool River, in the state of New South Wales.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/items/200702/1848227.htm?riverina

The World Bank was called in to adjudicate after Pakistan said the Baglihar Dam would deprive one of its agricultural regions of irrigation, while India finds the project crucial for meeting energy needs. The arbitrator, Professor Raymond Lafitte, completed his report, which has not been made public, but both India and Pakistan says it supports their positions.
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/COUNTRIES/SOUTHASIAEXT/0,,contentMDK:20320047~pagePK:146736~piPK:146830~theSitePK:223547,00.html
http://www.app.com.pk/en/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=3823&Itemid=2
http://www.indianexpress.com/story/23200.html
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CIM Defense Industrial Base
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UK Admiral Sir Jonathon Band warned he could resign from his position as First Sea lord if investment of at least GBP1 billion a year is not made to ensure that Britain remains a naval power.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/02/17/navy17.xml

As US reinforcement troops arrive in Baghdad, army units are short more than 4,000 Humvee armor kits, and the upgrade will not be completed until the summer.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/11/AR2007021101345.html

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released "Defense Logistics: Improved Oversight and Increased Coordination Needed to Ensure Viability of the Army's Pre-positioning Strategy". The report explains that pre-positioned military equipment and supplies on ships and overseas on and have become an integral part of the US defense strategy. However, the Army's program has faced long-standing management challenges including equipment excesses and shortfalls, invalid or poorly defined requirements, and maintenance problems. GAO reviewed the army's internal assessment and made recommendations to synchronize its strategy with overall defense efforts and address issues including requirements determination, readiness reporting, comprehensive facilities planning, and maintenance oversight. The Department of Defense responded that they do not believe any further actions are necessary.
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-144

The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform held a hearing on Iraq Reconstruction that incorporates new information on the findings of three top auditors overseeing work in Iraq. All found systematic and long-standing shortcomings, particularly related to contractor management.
http://oversight.house.gov/story.asp?ID=1175
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-426T

Contractors in Iraq are not often treated well by their employers or the government. This article discusses contractors, as the anonymous casualties of the war in Iraq.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-contractors12feb12,0,2514893.story
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CIM Emergency Services
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Israeli paramedic Nimrod Gutman describes a day in the life of his mobile medical unit.
http://www.who.int/healthsystems/health_worker_diaries/emergency_paramedic/en/index.html

US Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff addressed the National Emergency Management Association mid-year conference, discussing three areas of focus in 2007: grants, interoperability, and the reorganization of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), as mandated by Congress.
http://www.dhs.gov/xnews/speeches/sp_1171376113152.shtm

The World Trade Center Environmental Health Center has been established at New York City's Bellevue Hospital, to focus on those affected by toxic dust and fumes after the 9/11 attacks.
http://www.nyc.gov/html/hhc/html/community/wtc-health-center.shtml
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CIM Energy
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Brazil has agreed to Bolivia's demand for an increase in the price of natural gas exports. Last year Brazil paid nearly $1.3 billion. That figure will rise by at least $100 million, due to additional component fees.

European Commissioner for Competition Neelie Kroes presented the final report on the energy sector competition inquiry, which highlights three major structural problems:
* Many energy markets are too highly concentrated and not liquid enough
* There is insufficient unbundling of network and supply activities and
* There is an absence of cross-border integration and cross-border competition.
http://www.europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=MEMO/07/61

The West African Gas Pipeline Project missed its December launch to begin supplying Nigerian gas to Benin, Togo, Ghana and Ivory Coast, due to militants repeatedly vandalizing the Escravos pipeline in the Niger Delta.
http://www.vanguardngr.com/articles/2002/cover/february07/13022007/f213022007.html

South Africa's parliamentary Public Enterprises Portfolio Committee heard evidence that the country's electricity supply will remain uncertain for the next five years, due to government decisions not to allow additional construction for additional capacity between 2001-2004.
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=299009
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CIM Information Technology
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Canadian industry minister Maxime Bernier has adopted the controversial position of dismissing net neutrality in favor of an unfettered marketplace, although there has been a rash of discrimination lawsuits.
http://www.thestar.com/article/180608
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CIM Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste
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The potential of Canada's heavy-water reactor technology to directly use waste fuel from most rival light-water reactors could address the problems of skyrocketing uranium prices and nuclear waste disposal.
http://www.thestar.com/article/180615

Pending regulatory and shareholder approval, Canadian mining group SXR Uranium One will buy Kazakh uranium miner UrAsia Energy.
http://www.uranium1.com/uploads/articles/Uranium One and UrAsia Transaction.pdf
http://www.urasiaenergy.com/i/pdf/2007-02-12_NR.pdf
http://www.thestar.com/article/180945

The UK High Court has ruled that the government's decision to support a new generation of nuclear power stations was unlawful because the public consultation process was seriously flawed. This gives a victory to Greenpeace, which brought the suit. Prime Minister Blair denied that this ruling would alter government policy.
http://www.greenpeace.org.uk/climate/climate.cfm?CFID=5908180&CFTOKEN=73353361&UCIDParam=20070215173120
http://www.gnn.gov.uk/environment/fullDetail.asp?ReleaseID=264412&NewsAreaID=2
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/6365099.stm
http://www.guardian.co.uk/leaders/story/0,,2014282,00.html
http://www.dti.gov.uk/consultations/page32340.html

The UK Atomic Energy Authority, the operator of the Dounreay nuclear plant, has been fined GBP140,000 for releasing radioactive particles into the sea and illegally dumping radioactive waste.
http://www.ukaea.org.uk/news/2007/14-02-07-2.html

The Public Service Commission in the US state of Florida adopted new rules to spur the construction of nuclear power plants.
http://www.psc.state.fl.us/home/news/index.aspx?id=228
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CIM Postal and Shipping
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Turkish police have provided information to public bodies, institutions, and mail offices of precautions to be taken against letters and packages suspected of containing anthrax.
http://www.todayszaman.com/tz-web/detaylar.do?load=print&link=102937

The US Postal Inspection Service is offering up to $100,000 reward for information about two letter bombs mailed to companies in Chicago and Kansas City, Missouri, which may be linked to other threatening letters sent to financial institutions over the last 18 months.
http://www.thekansascitychannel.com/news/11014489/detail.html
http://www.usps.com/postalinspectors/
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CIM Public Health and Healthcare
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The Advance Market Commitments for vaccines is a new initiative that will begin with a pilot program to help speed development and availability of a new pneumococcal disease vaccine. Illnesses from this disease kill 1.6 million people each year.
http://www.vaccineamc.org/launch_event_01.html

This week's New England Journal of medicine includes an article that finds FluMist, a live virus in a nasal spray, is more effective than flu shots for protecting children.
http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/short/356/7/685
http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/short/356/7/729

The same 15 February issue also covers implications for global public health of extremely drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR).
http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/356/7/656

Australia's National Drug Research Institute reports that alcohol causes the death of an indigenous Australian on average every 38 hours. Between 2000 and 2004, at least 1,145 died at an average age of 35. These conservative estimates emphasize the health disparities between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians. The researchers call for a new focus on the underlying social causes of ill health and region-specific approaches to improve health.
http://db.ndri.curtin.edu.au/media.asp?mediarelid=83

Gambian President Yaha Jammeh's unsubstantiated claim that he can cure AIDS raises more questions than answers, and threatens to set back efforts to stem the spread of the deadly HIV virus.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57601

Portugal held a referendum on abortion last weekend, in which 59.3 percent of the voters supported changes to the current law that permits abortions only in cases of rape, a threat to the mother's health, or serious fetal abnormality. The government is taking legislation to parliament that would permit abortions to all women until the 10th week of pregnancy.
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CIM Telecommunications
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Japan and the US signed an agreement to facilitate trade in telecommunications equipment under which Japan will accept US product testing and certification.
http://mdn.mainichi-msn.co.jp/business/news/20070217p2g00m0bu020000c.html

Namibia is launching the world's first mobile phone bas station powered by wind and sun.
http://www.motorola.com/mediacenter/news/detail.jsp?globalObjectId=7717_7646_23
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/6353741.stm

Venezuela's government has bought 28.5 percent of CANTV, the country's leading telecomm company, from Verizon Communications (US). President Chavez is proceeding with plans to nationalize energy and telecommunications firms. He has previously accused CANTV of spying on him.
http://www.cantv.com.ve/Portales/Cantv\data\2007-02-13 - On Agreement VZ and Gvt.pdf
http://english.eluniversal.com/2007/02/13/en_eco_art_13A834941.shtml

Lack of foreign currency to pay for termination rates charged by foreign networks has forces Zimbabwe's mobile operators to limit the number of international calls.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.aspx?reportid=70234
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CIM Transportation
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Transport Canada is moving forward to implement International Civil Aviation Organization security recommendations.
http://www.thestar.com/article/181056

New Zealand will implement new security checks from the end of March, including restrictions on liquids.
http://tvnz.co.nz/view/page/411749/991175

The UK head of aviation security says that future terrorist attempts against planes could involve staff infiltration.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/airlines/story/0,,2013204,00.html

The House Committee on Appropriations held a hearing on Aviation Security Challenges, which finds more work needed particularly in airline passenger prescreening, airline passenger and checked baggage screening, and air cargo screening.
http://appropriations.house.gov/Subcommittees/sub_dhs.shtml
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-448T

Panama has joined the US Megaports Initiative and the Container Security Initiative to control movement of nuclear materials.
http://www.nnsa.doe.gov/docs/newsreleases/2007/PR_2007-2-09_NA-07-04.htm

The US House and Senate each held hearings on the Coast Guard's modernization program, Deepwater, addressing serious management, operational, and technical issues in the troubled undertaking.
http://commerce.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Hearings.Hearing&Hearing_ID=1817
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-446T
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-460T

The House Committee on Homeland Security continued investigations into rail and mass transit security. Rail security systems that the Department of Homeland Security tested have all failed.
http://hsc.house.gov/hearings/index.asp?ID=7&SubSection=0&Issue=0&PublishDate=2/18/2007
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-459T
http://www.usatoday.com/travel/news/2007-02-13-rail-security_x.htm

US border security issues remain extremely problematic, including both the Secure Border Initiative and the US Visitor and Immigrant Status programs, which were both the topic of congressional hearings this week. The Department of Homeland Security is abandoning plans to use radio frequency identification (RFID) after a 15-month test as part of US VISIT failed.
http://hsc.house.gov/hearings/index.asp?ID=6&SubSection=0&Issue=0&PublishDate=2/18/2007
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-309
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-278
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CIM Water
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Water security has become the crucial issue in Australian elections.
http://www.news.com.au/sundaytelegraph/story/0,22049,2121,00.html



6. Disaster Reduction Monitor

 

Natural and manmade events are inevitable, but they need not become disasters. Subscribers to the monthly Disaster Reduction Monitor learn from past incidents to prevent future disasters. It includes analysis of historical events, emerging risks and risk mitigation, and features new techniques to address disaster reduction, ranging from technical advances to regulatory best practices and micro-finance.
http://secure.netsolhost.com/573566.585211/Merchant2/merchant.mvc?Screen=SFNT&Store_Code=TP
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DRM Incidents
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Human traffickers in Yemen set off in four smuggling boats. One capsized, and a second boat then threw its migrants overboard to save their fellow smugglers. At least 107 Ethiopian and Somali migrants were drowned and buried: others are likely to have died but not been recovered.

Mozambique has been hit with the worst floods in six years. At least 29 people have died and 60,000 evacuated. Access to food and water has been cut off. More rains are expected in coming weeks.
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=57605

The floods have receded from Jakarta, and the city is cleaning up the devastation. More than 200,000 people are suffering flood-related illnesses, including diarrhea, dengue fever, and severe respiratory problems. Two people have been treated for leptospirosis, which was probably transmitted through floodwaters contaminated with rat urine. Nearly half a million people were displaced, but are beginning to return home.

A Democratic Republic of Congo cargo train derailed in Katanga province, killing ten and injuring several others. An investigation into the cause is under way.

A state of emergency was declared in New Orleans following a tornado that killed one woman and damaged or destroyed dozens of trailers housing those left homeless by 2005 Hurricane Katrina.
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DRM Response and Recovery
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In 1999, the Erike oil Tanker sank off the French coast of Brittany, spilling 20,000 tons of oil into the sea, killing tens of thousands of seabirds, and polluting 250 miles of coastline. Oil company Total, its chief executive, and two company affiliates are among 15 parties charged with endangering lives or failing to prevent pollution. The trial opened this week, with 74 plaintiffs including the federal and local government, and environmental groups.
http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=L12806933
http://news.independent.co.uk/europe/article2264643.ece
http://www.lloyds.com/dj/DowJonesArticle.aspx?id=272472
http://www.cedre.fr/uk/spill/erika/erika.htm

The Russian Interstate Aviation Committee completed its review of the 2006 crash of the Pulkovo Airlines Tupolev, which killed 154 people. They blamed the crash on pilot error, including inadequate training and supervision.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L17877023.htm

Bad weather halted salvage operations for the MSC Napoli, which was grounded off the English coast on 20 January, for nearly a week. Operations resumed on Wednesday to continue removing contaminated fuel oil and the containers on board. High winds on Thursday swept another ten containers overboard: two sank and eight reached shore. Finders of wreck material from the containers have to next week to report the items to the Receiver of Wreck, or face possible criminal charges.
http://www.mcga.gov.uk/c4mca/mcga-press-releases?id=8B59A9B4681C0657&m=2&y=2007
http://www.mcga.gov.uk/c4mca/mcga-press-releases?id=AB66C78F12127596&m=2&y=2007
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DRM Risks
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State Farm Insurance is suspending new homeowners and commercial policies in Mississippi because it feels that criticisms over handling Hurricane Katrina claims and reinterpretation of policies have created an unpredictable environment. Mississippi's Attorney General has responded by proposing legislation to require new insurance underwriting.
http://www.statefarm.com/about/media/media_releases/mississippi_home.asp
http://www.ago.state.ms.us/divisions/pressconf.php
http://www.statefarm.com/about/media/media_releases/msinsunder.asp

Scientists with the Public Policy Institute of California and the University of California Davis have issued a call to action to address deterioration of California's Delta. Their 300-page report considers water supply, environmental effects, and economic costs, and considers nine alternative solutions for managing natural and human pressures and the changes under way.
http://www.news.ucdavis.edu/search/news_detail.lasso?id=8034
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DRM Mitigation
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The Chicago Mercantile Exchange is expanding derivatives offerings to hedge hurricane risks.
http://www.cme.com/about/press/cn/07-29HurricaneFuturesLaunch21551.html

Jakarta, Indonesia, plans to accelerate development of the East Canal Flood control system to complete it in 2008, a year ahead of the original 2009 target.

The US House Committee on Small Business held a hearing on Small Business Administration (SBA) Unprepared to Respond to Future Large-Scale Disasters. SBA provides disaster loans to businesses, homeowners, and renters, but limited information systems and other logistical issues hinder timely response to disasters.
http://www.house.gov/smbiz/PressReleases/2007/PR21407DisasterRelief.htm
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-484T
http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-114


7. Recommended Reading

When George Bush became president of the United States in January 2001, he dismissed the idea of using diplomacy to mitigate threats, and instead insisted on defeating them. President Clinton's agreement with North Korea, to freeze arms in exchange for aid, ended. In his January 2002 State of the Union Address, he described the response to the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and announced:
"Our second goal is to prevent regimes that sponsor terror from threatening America or our friends and allies with weapons of mass destruction.... North Korea is a regime arming with missiles and weapons of mass destruction, while starving its citizens. Iran aggressively pursues these weapons and exports terror, while an unelected few repress the Iranian people's hope for freedom. Iraq continues to flaunt its hostility toward America and to support terror. The Iraqi regime has plotted to develop anthrax, and nerve gas, and nuclear weapons for over a decade.

"States like these, and their terrorist allies, constitute an axis of evil, arming to threaten the peace of the world. By seeking weapons of mass destruction, these regimes pose a grave and growing danger. They could provide these arms to terrorists, giving them the means to match their hatred. They could attack our allies or attempt to blackmail the United States. In any of these cases, the price of indifference would be catastrophic. We will work closely with our coalition to deny terrorists and their state sponsors the materials, technology, and expertise to make and deliver weapons of mass destruction. We will develop and deploy effective missile defenses to protect America and our allies from sudden attack. And all nations should know: America will do what is necessary to ensure our nation's security. We'll be deliberate, yet time is not on our side. I will not wait on events, while dangers gather. I will not stand by, as peril draws closer and closer. The United States of America will not permit the world's most dangerous regimes to threaten us with the world's most destructive weapons."

This "Axis of Evil" speech laid out an aggressive policy based on military power that almost entirely excluded diplomacy. Iraq was invaded, and Iran and North Korea believed they would be next. In response to this threat, both countries, and others around the world, turned their sites towards nuclear weapons as the only possible deterrence. North Korea's program, suspended under the Clinton administration, was revived.

In February 2005 North Korea announced that it had built nuclear weapons for self-defense. Facing the reality of a nuclear North Korea, six-party diplomatic efforts from the EU, China, Japan, Russia, South Korea and the US gained strength. In September, North Korea again agreed to suspend its nuclear program and submit to international inspections following US assurances that it would not face attack. Here is the text of that agreement:

2005 AGREEMENT
***************************************************

For the cause of peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula and in north-east Asia at large, the six parties held in a spirit of mutual respect and equality serious and practical talks concerning the denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula on the basis of the common understanding of the previous three rounds of talks and agreed in this context to the following:

1. The six parties unanimously reaffirmed that the goal of the six-party talks is the verifiable denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula in a peaceful manner.

The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) committed to abandoning all nuclear weapons and existing nuclear programs and returning at an early date to the treaty on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons (NPT) and to IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) safeguards.

The United States affirmed that is has no nuclear weapons on the Korean Peninsula and has no intention to attack or invade the DPRK with nuclear or conventional weapons.

The ROK (South Korea) reaffirmed its commitment not to receive or deploy nuclear weapons in accordance with the 1992 joint declaration of the Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, while affirming that there exist no nuclear weapons within its territory.

The 1992 joint declaration of the Denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula should be observed and implemented.

The DPRK stated that it has the right to peaceful uses of nuclear energy.

The other parties expressed their respect and agreed to discuss at an appropriate time the subject of the provision of light-water reactor to the DPRK.

2. The six parties undertook, in their relations, to abide by the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations and recognized norms of international relations.

The DPRK and the United States undertook to respect each other's sovereignty, exist peacefully together and take steps to normalize their relations subject to their respective bilateral policies.

The DPRK and Japan undertook to take steps to normalize their relations in accordance with the (2002) Pyongyang Declaration, on the basis of the settlement of unfortunate past and the outstanding issues of concern.

3. The six parties undertook to promote economic cooperation in the fields of energy, trade and investment, bilaterally and/or multilaterally.

China, Japan, the Republic of Korea (ROK), Russia and the US stated their willingness to provide energy assistance to the DPRK. The ROK reaffirmed its proposal of 12 July 2005, concerning the provision of 2 million kilowatts of electric power to the DPRK.

4. Committed to joint efforts for lasting peace and stability in northeast Asia, the directly related parties will negotiate a permanent peace regime on the Korean Peninsula at an appropriate separate forum.

The six parties agreed to explore ways and means for promoting security cooperation in northeast Asia.

5. The six parties agreed to take coordinated steps to implement the aforementioned consensus in a phased manner in line with the principle of "commitment for commitment, action for action".

6. The six parties agreed to hold the fifth round of the six-party talks in Beijing in early November 2005 at a date to be determined through consultations.

Talks continued on occasion after this agreement, but failed to reach agreement on key issues, including North Korea's demands for a civilian nuclear reactor, and Japan's demand to know the fate of its citizens kidnapped by North Korea.

In July 2006, North Korea test-fired long- and medium-range missiles with the potential to reach not only its neighboring countries, but also the west coast of the US. It tested a nuclear weapon in October.

Six nation talks resumed last week. It looked as if they would fail, but talks were extended for another day, and at the last minute North Korea agreed to suspend its main nuclear reactor in exchange for aid. This was the same arrangement as under President Clinton, except that in the intervening period, North Korea had developed nuclear weapons, with a stockpile of as many as 12 nuclear warheads. In the new agreement, provided below, the weapons issue has been deferred.

NORTH KOREA - DENUCLEARIZATION ACTION PLAN
***************************************************

The following action plan was released in Beijing on February 13, 2007 following the conclusion of the latest round of Six-Party Talks.

Initial Actions for the Implementation of the Joint Statement

13 February 2007

The Third Session of the Fifth Round of the Six-Party Talks was held in Beijing among the People's Republic of China, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Japan, the Republic of Korea, the Russian Federation and the United States of America from 8 to 13 February 2007.

Mr. Wu Dawei, Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs of the PRC, Mr. Kim Gye Gwan, Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs of the DPRK; Mr. Kenichiro Sasae, Director-General for Asian and Oceanian Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan; Mr. Chun Yung-woo, Special Representative for Korean Peninsula Peace and Security Affairs of the ROK Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade; Mr. Alexander Losyukov, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation; and Mr. Christopher Hill, Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs of the Department of State of the United States attended the talks as heads of their respective delegations.

Vice Foreign Minister Wu Dawei chaired the talks.

I. The Parties held serious and productive discussions on the actions each party will take in the initial phase for the implementation of the Joint Statement of 19 September 2005. The Parties reaffirmed their common goal and will to achieve early denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula in a peaceful manner and reiterated that they would earnestly fulfill their commitments in the Joint Statement. The Parties agreed to take coordinated steps to implement the Joint Statement in a phased manner in line with the principle of "action for action".

II. The Parties agreed to take the following actions in parallel in the initial phase:

1. The DPRK will shut down and seal for the purpose of eventual abandonment the Yongbyon nuclear facility, including the reprocessing facility and invite back IAEA personnel to conduct all necessary monitoring and verifications as agreed between IAEA and the DPRK.
2. The DPRK will discuss with other parties a list of all its nuclear programs as described in the Joint Statement, including plutonium extracted from used fuel rods, that would be abandoned pursuant to the Joint Statement.
3. The DPRK and the US will start bilateral talks aimed at resolving pending bilateral issues and moving toward full diplomatic relations. The US will begin the process of removing the designation of the DPRK as a state-sponsor of terrorism and advance the process of terminating the application of the Trading with the Enemy Act with respect to the DPRK.
4. The DPRK and Japan will start bilateral talks aimed at taking steps to normalize their relations in accordance with the Pyongyang Declaration, on the basis of the settlement of unfortunate past and the outstanding issues of concern.
5. Recalling Section 1 and 3 of the Joint Statement of 19 September 2005, the Parties agreed to cooperate in economic, energy and humanitarian assistance to the DPRK. In this regard, the Parties agreed to the provision of emergency energy assistance to the DPRK in the initial phase. The initial shipment of emergency energy assistance equivalent to 50,000 tons of heavy fuel oil (HFO) will commence within next 60 days.

The Parties agreed that the above-mentioned initial actions will be implemented within next 60 days and that they will take coordinated steps toward this goal.

III. The Parties agreed on the establishment of the following Working Groups (WG) in order to carry out the initial actions and for the purpose of full implementation of the Joint Statement:

1. Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula
2. Normalization of DPRK-US relations
3. Normalization of DPRK-Japan relations
4. Economy and Energy Cooperation
5. Northeast Asia Peace and Security Mechanism

The WGs will discuss and formulate specific plans for the implementation of the Joint Statement in their respective areas. The WGs shall report to the Six-Party Heads of Delegation Meeting on the progress of their work. In principle, progress in one WG shall not affect progress in other WGs. Plans made by the five WGs will be implemented as a whole in a coordinated manner.

The Parties agreed that all WGs will meet within next 30 days.

IV. During the period of the Initial Actions phase and the next phase - which includes provision by the DPRK of a complete declaration of all nuclear programs and disablement of all existing nuclear facilities, including graphite-moderated reactors and reprocessing plant - economic, energy and humanitarian assistance up to the equivalent of 1 million tons of heavy fuel oil (HFO), including the initial shipment equivalent to 50,000 tons of HFO, will be provided to the DPRK.

The detailed modalities of the said assistance will be determined through consultations and appropriate assessments in the Working Group on Economic and Energy Cooperation.

V. Once the initial actions are implemented, the Six Parties will promptly hold a ministerial meeting to confirm implementation of the Joint Statement and explore ways and means for promoting security cooperation in Northeast Asia.

VI. The Parties reaffirmed that they will take positive steps to increase mutual trust, and will make joint efforts for lasting peace and stability in Northeast Asia. The directly related parties will negotiate a permanent peace regime on the Korean Peninsula at an appropriate separate forum.

VII. The Parties agreed to hold the Sixth Round of the Six-Party Talks on 19 March 2007 to hear reports of WGs and discuss on actions for the next phase.

ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY
***************************************************
"A Reversal of Policy for US"
http://www.philly.com/mld/inquirer/news/editorial/16692459.htm
"Back from the Brink"
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/john_gittings/2007/02/a_step_back_from_the_brink.html
"Bad Behavior Works"
http://www.guardian.co.uk/korea/article/0,,2012368,00.html
"Blackmailed By North Korea"
http://www.smh.com.au/news/editorial/blackmailed-by-north-korea/2007/02/14/1171405291097.html
"Cautious Welcome for N Korea Deal"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6359217.stm
"China Wins Praise Over North Korea Deal"
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/48c04706-bc5b-11db-9cbc-0000779e2340.html
"Conservatives Assail North Korea Accord"
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/14/AR2007021401695.html
"Doubts on Dismantling N Korea's Arsenal"
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/02/15/news/bomb.php
"The End of a Long Confrontation?"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6357853.stm
"From the Axis of Evil to a Grand Bargain"
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/066df120-bba0-11db-afe4-0000779e2340.html
"Fuel for Skepticism"
http://blogs.guardian.co.uk/news/archives/2007/02/13/pyongyang_deal_fuel_for_scepticism.html
"Little Faith New Effort Will Work Any Better"
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/little-faith-new-effort-will-work-any-better/2007/02/14/1171405299872.html
"Multilateralism Makes a Welcome Return"
http://comment.independent.co.uk/leading_articles/article2268057.ece
"Nuclear Deal Facing Meltdown"
http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,466215,00.html
"Nuclear Deal Wins Media Approval"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6360925.stm
"Outside Pressures Broke Korean Deadlock"
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/14/world/asia/14assess.html
"Pact With North Korea Draws Fire From a Wide Range of Critics in US"
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/14/world/asia/14korea.html
"Political Battles Just Beginning"
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/IB15Dg02.html
"Same Old Deal, Higher Price"
http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/news/200702/200702130009.html
"South Korea and Japan Split on North Korea Pact"
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/15/world/asia/15japan.html
"US Enters the Reality Zone"
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/IB15Dg01.html
"Wily Pyongyang may just be buying time"
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/wily-pyongyang-may-just-be-buying-time/2007/02/14/1171405299881.html


8. Asset Management Network News

NEW REPORTS:

 

* "The Interconnected Century: Critical Security Issues" describes the ways in which individuals, governments, and businesses rely for their very survival on networks, both explicit and informal. It raises the issues of how these networks interact, and provides examples of practical ways to address risks and opportunities in each sector of the critical infrastructure.

* "Trends in Terrorism 2006" provides statistical summaries and analysis of the trends in attacks, tactics, facilities, geographic distribution and other areas for 2006. It includes quantitative comparison over time, and compares these to trends over the past 40 years, and how they compare to natural disasters. This year has expanded to include a chronology of major incidents.